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fangman said..psychojoe said..Here's your correlation equals causation post. This took way too long to find and wasn't worth the effort, somebody start a new thread, this one is too long.
So case in point: if you are so inclined you can investigate the authors and methodology and review their findings.
Edouard Mathieu, Hannah Ritchie, Lucas Rod?s-Guirao, Cameron Appel, Charlie Giattino, Joe Hasell, Bobbie Macdonald, Saloni Dattani, Diana Beltekian, Esteban Ortiz-Ospina and Max Roser (2020) - "Coronavirus Pandemic (COVID-19)". Published online at OurWorldinData.org. Retrieved from: '
ourworldindata.org/coronavirus' [Online Resource]
@article{owidcoronavirus,
author = {Edouard Mathieu and Hannah Ritchie and Lucas Rod?s-Guirao and Cameron Appel and Charlie Giattino and Joe Hasell and Bobbie Macdonald and Saloni Dattani and Diana Beltekian and Esteban Ortiz-Ospina and Max Roser},
title = {Coronavirus Pandemic (COVID-19)},
journal = {Our World in Data},
year = {2020},
note = {
ourworldindata.org/coronavirus}
}
"Critical thinking is a kind of thinking in which you
question, analyse, interpret, evaluate and make a judgement about what you read, hear, say, or write. The term critical comes from the Greek word kritikos meaning "able to judge or discern"."
The highlighted parts would be a good start for Psychojoe.
Consider the quite specific notes made by the Ourworldindata people....
" To understand how the pandemic is evolving, it's crucial to know how death rates from COVID-19 are affected by vaccination status. The death rate is a key metric that can accurately show how effective vaccines are against severe forms of the disease. This may change over time when there are changes in the prevalence of COVID-19 and because of factors such as waning immunity, new strains of the virus, and the use of boosters.This page explains why it is essential to look at death
rates by vaccination status rather than the
absolute number of deaths among vaccinated and unvaccinated people."
Why do we need to compare the
death rates between vaccinated and unvaccinated?During a pandemic, you might see headlines like "Half of those who died from the virus were vaccinated."Based on this headline, it would be wrong to conclude whether the vaccines protect people from the virus. The headline does not provide enough information to do so.
Let's think through an example to see this.
Of 10 unvaccinated people, 5 died ? the death rate among the unvaccinated is 50%.Of 50 vaccinated people, 5 died ? the death rate among the vaccinated is 10%.We, therefore, see that the death rate among the vaccinated is 5 times lower than among the unvaccinated.In the example, we invented numbers to simplify calculating the death rates. However, the same logic applies to the current COVID-19 pandemic. Comparisons of the absolute numbers, as some headlines do, make a mistake known in statistics as a 'base rate fallacy': it ignores that one group is much larger than the other. It is important to avoid this mistake,
ourworldindata.org/covid-deaths-by-vaccination