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D3 said..
So you're approach would have been what?
Formula Nova already asked this about 37 times.
And I gave the same answer 37 times. After the the 37th answer FN decided he couldn't handle the logic of the answer anymore, and that the best way to deal with this was by putting his fingers in his ears and shouting nar-nar-nar loudly.
The answer to your question is simple. I would have done what everybody agreed should be done. Until they all changed their minds based on political one-up-manship.
You can claim I am saying this from a position of hindsight, which was FNs only retort 36 times before the nar-nar-nar started. But I said the same thing in March 2020.
In December 2019, when the first cases of Covid began to emerge there were already federal and state pandemic management plans. Google them yourself, or here is a helping hand
www.health.gov.au/resources/publications/australian-health-management-plan-for-pandemic-influenza-ahmppi?language=enIn March 2020 the WA government, as a state example, updated their plan. Here ya go :
www.wa.gov.au/government/media-statements/McGowan-Labor-Government/Updated-WA-Government-Pandemic-Plan-released-in-response-to-COVID-19-20200311 The strategy was suppression to prevent overloading of the health system and to allow "herd immunity" (the colloquial phrase adopted). The states and the feds all agreed. The media promoted this strategy. The same strategy for every similar panemdic since 1900.
Even Jacinta in NZ agreed. On 21st March 2020 she gave this speech :
www.beehive.govt.nz/speech/pm-address-covid-19-updateThe first really important thing to remember, is that the vast majority of people who will ever have COVID 19 will only experience mild to moderate symptoms. But there will be some who need more care. That's why we have to focus on one simple goal - to slow down Covid 19.The above is what I would have done. It is also what everyone agreed should be done.
But booooooom- something happened. Because just two days later Jacinta broke her agreed plan and went all-in elimination. At that date NZ had about 100 confirmed cases and zero deaths. On 23rd March she declared NZ would go full lockdown on 26th March and would eliminate Covid. What part of the plan was this, show me where in her speach on 21st march this could happen. Not
would happen -
could happen. This was making **** up on the fly, no science, no planning, no forethought, just some random dumb-arse bubble. I'd say thought-bubble but the use of the word 'thought' probably implies something it wasn't.
Not so long later it turns out elimination didn't work. NZ isolation from the world didn't work. So she gave up and went back to the plan. The plan she had on 21st March. The one that should have been followed all-along.
And, following Jacinta's brain-wave (although again, the use of the word 'brain' may be mis-leading), one by one all the state Premiers (with elections rapidly apporaching and daily statistics saying which state had a lower score) broke ranks with the agreed national plan and went all Jacinta-ish. Elimination, lockdowns, state border closures....
And then the only way out of this unplanned hole they dug themselves into - mandated vaccination rates. How else could they lift the controls ?
So, my question 1 to you : What do you think would be more effective:
a) a border closure based on a line on a map from 1910, where the state premier can blame everything beyond the closure point for the problems, and get some statistics to be manipulated into their favour
b) a restriction on travel based on the prevelance of Covid-19 in the community and the basic needs to transit that point
and question 2:
How do we manage Covid today ?
a) Exactly like the plans that were in place in early 2020 (and curiously enough not updated since#), developed over the preceeding 100 years following multiple influenza-based pandemics and epidemics, by committies of experts
b) via politican thought-bubbles of virus elimination at all cost, with lockdowns, state border closures and mandates the only implemantation measures we can come up with that support the elimination strategy
- If you say b) then a), then I reckon you agree with my point.
- If you say anything else then I'd guess you are confusing my point with the crack-pot nonsense promoted by PM33 and others.
- If you put your fingers in your ears and go narr-narrr-narr, like Formula-Nova, than I'd guess you agree with my point, but you don't want to admit it (admit to yourself that is), because then it means you have to accept that the pollies made dumb-decisions based on favourable media headlines tomorrow, and not based on the 'science' of what was best for the population.
bonus question :
#why not ?