Select to expand quote
psychojoe said..D3 said..
Because we got a good look at how that would play out in real life after travel restrictions in Australia were removed.
I understand Prof Ioannidis tried to get some early, clear understanding of how the virus might affect the USA. But his strongly suggested!l "likely lost in the noise of the seasonal influenza" prediction was clearly off the mark. It matched his study results but not what other countries were witnessing
After the travel restrictions were removed I was able to return home and return to work. Everyone I know including both vaccinated and unvaccinated got Covid and survived. So your assertion that removing travel restrictions was a winning move is validated.
Professor Ioannidis reckoned the IFR was something like 0.26, but maybe as low as 0.02 in early 2020.
If we'd let the original strain infect 10,000,000 Australians (an immunologicaly naive population) in 2020, do you think we'd have been better off?
But I agree with Prof Ioannidis when he says: lockdowns in the USA were necessary as a temporary measure. And they would have been reduced if "we acted earlier, with aggressive testing, tracing, and isolating, like the South Koreans, the Taiwanese and the Singaporeans did, the virus wouldn't have spread as wildly as it did."