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hashbrown said..
One percent of 330 million is 3.3 million.
A tenth of 3.3 million is 330 000 so the death rate is 0.1 not the 2 percent claimed by somebody here.
Then you factor in that the CDC on their own website admit that 94 percent of the deaths have an average of 2.6 underlying conditions.
So the three hundred thousand figure death count is laughable.
Six percent of three hundred thousand is 18 000 so the death rate is a very small fraction of a single percent - period.
The harm caused by the lockdowns to people and businesses in the short and longer term is going to be on a scale never seen before in the history of the world.
That's a death rate for the whole population, not case fatality rate (people who die who've tested positive in a clinical setting) or infection fatality rate (fatalities for estimated number of total infections).
A population death rate is going to be very low because you're assuming everyone is going to get it, butthat's unlikely.I guess you *could*use it as a measure of your overall chance of dying from it as a member of a population, but it's just averaging it out and not taking into account local risks ie. living in the middle of Ghetto, New York or living in the middle of Nowhere, Wyoming. Which makes all the difference.
CFR is the thing to look at, because those are the people sick enough to actually go to a hospital, and IFR is pretty much unknowable.
It's like the risk of dying from shark bite while kitesurfing. Average it out across all kitesurfers and it's very low... but for me here on the fresh water lake, it's absolutely zero while for someone in WA it will be higher than the average for the population of kiters.