Carantoc forum posts in last 60 days

Show Edits
Reply in Topic: capping immigration etc
Carantoc
Carantoc
WA
7268 posts
WA, 7268 posts
15 May 2026 7:38am
Sorry, but could I just get a fact-check from the brains trust because I don't watch this either, but is the live stream of the Eurovision Song Contest the best program on channel SBS ?
Reply in Topic: capping immigration etc
Carantoc
Carantoc
WA
7268 posts
WA, 7268 posts
13 May 2026 7:03am
myscreenname said..
^^ The program talks to it's audience like they are 10 years old. Something hilly and D3 refuse to do.



To be fair MSN, it isn't always easy for the layman to talk to the subject matter expert.
For example, I know it is hard for you to discuss complex economic topics with FormulaNova, or myself to talk to AI about bitcoin speculating, or bjw to chat with Laurie about the forum upgrades.
So, I think we should all remember that certain forum users may be less capable of explaining the ideas in their heads to 10 year olds than others.

Are you suggesting hilly or D3 might be the unknown creative genius's behind Channel Nine's top rated show Tipping Point ?
Reply in Topic: capping immigration etc
Carantoc
Carantoc
WA
7268 posts
WA, 7268 posts
12 May 2026 6:32pm
Meh said..
More importantly, how about Tipping Point tonight? Would you have gone two for forty thousand? That would have paid for an adult literacy course. www.tafensw.edu.au/course-areas/foundation-skills-english-language-and-auslan/literacy-and-numeracy-foundation-skills



I have never actually watched Channel Nine's Tipping Point. I don't really know how the game is played or what 'going two for forty thousand' involves.

Perhaps some level of English language literacy and basic numeracy skill is required to watch it, but the closest I have got is being presented with an advertising trailer for it once, and after seeing that I thought to myself... Meh....
Reply in Topic: capping immigration etc
Carantoc
Carantoc
WA
7268 posts
WA, 7268 posts
12 May 2026 5:47pm
jn1 said...
I can't remember now.


okey-dokey.

I'll add Windsport Forum Archivists and Librarians to the list.
Reply in Topic: capping immigration etc
Carantoc
Carantoc
WA
7268 posts
WA, 7268 posts
12 May 2026 5:43pm
myscreenname said..
Seabreeze.com.au also needs far more self apointed experts on all subjects - especially highly emotional, 'shouty' ones who demonstrate a tendency to get moderators involved.


Hey MSN,

Just a quick note to check in and see if you are OK with getting the deep analysis of the theories and realities of tonight's federal budget from Seabreeze's sole resident economics expert, FormulaNova, or do you want to search the world for better skilled individuals and add it to the list ?

Reply in Topic: capping immigration etc
Carantoc
Carantoc
WA
7268 posts
WA, 7268 posts
11 May 2026 6:39pm
Revised Specialist Skills Shortage Immigration List:

Grammar and Spelling Auditors (pedant level 99 or above) Meh, we're full so f- off
Educators (economic and war strategy) for 10 years olds
Domestic Architects (with knowledge of high-rise building failures) (Mornington Peninsular area)
Geoscientists and Earth Scientists (both flat and globe type)
Immigration Statisticians
Antique Windsurf Fin Screw Machinists
Peace Negotiators (middle-east region specialisation)
Real Estate Agents (Port Gregory market expertise)
Mandarin Teachers with a Bitcoin Investment Advice license
Small Engine and Carburetor Repairers (back-yard sub-class)

Forum emoji modernisers
Sales agents for bug-a-salt guns
Rodriguez impersonators
Statisticians (capped at 87.2% of current level)
Anyone committing to watch the entire season of channel nines flagship program 'Tipping Point'
Exterior Designers of small courtyard areas, in the kitsh boho-chic 80's lobster-bar style using nothing but cheap Temu plastic novelties
Comedians who understand irony
Reply in Topic: capping immigration etc
Carantoc
Carantoc
WA
7268 posts
WA, 7268 posts
11 May 2026 11:54am
Yes, because we already have plenty of those. The list is skill sets of which there is limited coverage, or current low levels of competancy.

Although, it does seem that some of the best, most capable and most prolific Pedants in Australia work remotely from the U.S. of A. {insert new seabreeze.com.au sarcasm wink emoji}

Given it has taken nearly 30 years perhaps we could add :
Forum emoji modernisers
Reply in Topic: capping immigration etc
Carantoc
Carantoc
WA
7268 posts
WA, 7268 posts
11 May 2026 10:28am
Keaw Yed. said..
The skill list is a farce,





Why not be part of the solution ?

If these forums have taught us anything, then it is exactly what skills are missing in this society :

Grammar and Spelling Auditors (pedant level 99 or above)
Educators (economic and war strategy) for 10 years olds
Domestic Architects (with knowledge of high-rise building failures) (Mornington Peninsular area)
Geoscientists and Earth Scientists (both flat and globe type)
Immigration Statisticians
Antique Windsurf Fin Screw Machinists
Peace Negotiators (middle-east region specialisation)
Real Estate Agents (Port Gregory market expertise)
Mandarin Teachers with a Bitcoin Investment Advice license
Small Engine and Carburetor Repairers (back-yard sub-class)

any others ?
Reply in Topic: capping immigration etc
Carantoc
Carantoc
WA
7268 posts
WA, 7268 posts
10 May 2026 12:12pm
FormulaNova said..
I stopped believing this stuff when I saw that hairdressers were on the skilled list.


Along with :

Antiques dealers
Dog racing officials
Jockeys
Kennel Hands
Content creators
Pet groomers
Flower growers
Footballers
Content creators
Goat farmers
Sculptors

immi.homeaffairs.gov.au/visas/working-in-australia/skill-occupation-list
Reply in Topic: capping immigration etc
Carantoc
Carantoc
WA
7268 posts
WA, 7268 posts
10 May 2026 11:54am
Meh said..




I reckon this is a bit biased and deliberately misleading.

Particularly when the original thread comment was about 'very long term' and the public discourse seems to be about 'generational' differences and perceived inequalities.

I am not sure going back 5 years is a valid assessment to the issue raised. If you follow the logic of the chart forecast backwards, then it is saying back in 2000 net migration was <20k. And in 1990 it was -180k. Which I don't think is true.

And so googling ABS stats tell me that net migration was <100k before 2000, and rose to 270,000 during the height of the resource boom in the 2000-2010 period. I am not sure saying that 270,000 is therefore a sustainable level based on it being the peak during the biggest boom time of several generations. One could argue the current national economic situation is closer to the mid 1990's slow down than the 2000-2010's boom. In which case the same logic implied by the argument in the chart is that <50k is the historical equivalent.

I'd guess you'd have to take into account relative size of society as well somehow, but I am not sure the people asking questions about the current rate are basing the argument simply on a six month or 1 year peak, but more on a long term overall trend. The chart provided might be better displayed as say data points for 10 year totals aging back the equivalent of several generations.
Carantoc
Carantoc
WA
7268 posts
WA, 7268 posts
7 May 2026 7:44pm
The day that Ai says the best food in the world is fish finger sandwiches with Branston pickle is the day I'll accept Ai has earnt it's 'i' moniker.

But when ChatGPT tells me the best food is sushi, kale or spinach I ain't loosing no sleep over the rise of the robots.
Carantoc
Carantoc
WA
7268 posts
WA, 7268 posts
4 May 2026 10:03am
myscreenname said..
..Bitcoin and blockchain is not going away anytime soon - it's here to stay.


You are probably right.

When greyhound racing gets banned and Keno isn't exciting enough people will want bitcoin to gamble on.

And those same people will need Ai to tell them when to buy and when to sell and who to complain to when they get scammed selling or buying. So probably neither are going anywhere.

Which, quite coincidently, is also my point.
Carantoc
Carantoc
WA
7268 posts
WA, 7268 posts
4 May 2026 9:43am
GreenPat said..
....Bitcoin seems pretty useless apart from another way to gamble..



No disagreement from me, but that's not what everybody else was saying a few years ago.

And even the detractors back then were saying block-chain technology was going to change the world. Looking out my window now I can't see it has. What uses block-chain today that is of noticeable benefit ?

And it appears, if the recent news on ABC can be trusted, we have about 3 years before computers get so powerful they can break the bitcoin transaction security codes quicker than bitcoin can transact. Thus, presumably, making the BTC block-chain about as secure as MSN leaving his house key under his Big W tree-of-life door mat.
Carantoc
Carantoc
WA
7268 posts
WA, 7268 posts
4 May 2026 9:28am
myscreenname said..


Reimagine this courtyard as a tropical paradise




Hey, MSN

If your career was in landscape design I think I can see why you got the arse so easily.

Pretty sure only a half-baked self promoting architect would classify that dingy hole as a 'courtyard'. Besides, did the six plastic lobsters from Temu not give you the boho-kitsch '80s beach-shack look you were hoping they would ?

Although I'd always imagined you'd have one of the novelty door-mats. One that says 'hippity hoppity, get off my property' or 'welcome to grand-pops house'.
Carantoc
Carantoc
WA
7268 posts
WA, 7268 posts
4 May 2026 9:10am
From what I've seen so far, including the examples here, I'm rating Ai as having about the same hype to actual value relationship as bitcoin has.

Mind you, if I got sacked from my career and replaced by something that thinks 'thirteen' has a letter 'a' in it maybe I'd be pathologically confused about my own competence as well.
Carantoc
Carantoc
WA
7268 posts
WA, 7268 posts
1 May 2026 7:39am
Mark _australia said..
.... it blackmails or lies when it knows its going to be turned off....


so AI is female then ?
Carantoc
Carantoc
WA
7268 posts
WA, 7268 posts
30 Apr 2026 5:35pm
May Day tomorrow.

'Obby 'Orse day.

Let AI try to work that ****er out.

Reply in Topic: Ben Robert Smith
Carantoc
Carantoc
WA
7268 posts
WA, 7268 posts
30 Apr 2026 7:38am
No, no. Don't you go watching Channel 7, they are on the wrong side.

Nine Network is what you want. They will provided you with the '..but they were all poor innocent civilians and the ADF is just a bunch of machismo white privileged men oppressing the downtrodden' reassurances you are seeking.

And besides, it means you don't have to change channels after you've watched Tipping Point and MAFS.
Carantoc
Carantoc
WA
7268 posts
WA, 7268 posts
28 Apr 2026 3:05pm
I guess in the war between Seven West Media and Nine Entertainment Co. all our minds are just cannon-fodder.

Perhaps some have been shelled more than others, but they have all been shocked.
Reply in Topic: Ben Robert Smith
Carantoc
Carantoc
WA
7268 posts
WA, 7268 posts
28 Apr 2026 1:37pm
Sorry MSN, I didn't catch it.

Better things to do on a long weekend and all.

But anyways, do you know if D3. hilly or whoever watched Channel 7 and have therefore now been informed educated indoctrinated of what their opinion is on the matter ?
Carantoc
Carantoc
WA
7268 posts
WA, 7268 posts
23 Apr 2026 8:51pm
Well, on reflection I probably didn't technically use a proper full-blown monte carlo simulation.

I just picked random chips from a bag, with 2% of those chips being different to the others. That is far more simple randomisation that the complexities of thought, or lack of thought, that might go through people's heads just before they hit the big red button.

To do it properly I guess I would have to go out, niggle a whole bunch of world leaders who have their fingers on the buttons and see which pressed it and what happened, then do that 1,000 times over.


But - I don't think with monte-carlo I need to assume any distribution. It may deliver me a distribution, but I can't influence the result by making an assumption at the start or changing the maths formula.


Perhaps for a pseudo monte-carlo nuclear annihilation sim we could use 1,000 posts on these very forums ? A select number of very opinionated people with inflated senses of self-worth but no actual power bickering over things that really don't matter, where the argument affects far more people than any outcome would (if any were actually ever reached). How each thread ends could be expanded to represent the fate of humanity each time....

WTF... nah, wait - W.T.A.F. - hang-on, perhaps we haven't realised it (or perhaps I haven't realised it and you have) but maybe we, in these forums, are part of somebody else's end-of-humanity sim ????? perhaps that is all they are ?

Argh well, if so then what it has told us so far is clearly that cockroaches and Carantocs will be the last survivors standing.......and the remerys and myscreennames are the poor unfortunate cannon-fodder losers.....
Carantoc
Carantoc
WA
7268 posts
WA, 7268 posts
23 Apr 2026 7:26am
Mmm, but that is looking at the question from the perspective of an applied nuclear physicist.

I'd say the question is less based on the laws of thermodynamics and inevitable increase in entrophy and more based on the illogical trait of human choices and gambling.

I'd suggest the monte-carlo method or similar would be a more appropriate analysis method.

So - 98 white chips in a bag, 2 black chips, 2% chance of pulling black. Each pick = 1 year and chips go back in each time.

First run - 29 years
Second run - 27 years
Third run - 58 years
Fourth run - 38 years

mmmm - yep, we are all doomed. Hope your theory of negative feed back holds.
Carantoc
Carantoc
WA
7268 posts
WA, 7268 posts
22 Apr 2026 1:01pm
Mark _australia said..
Who keeps gherkins in a safe


Maybe it was ajar ?

Maybe Mavis was in a bit of a pickle ?

Yeah, OK not some of my best, but you will just have to dill with it. I saw my cue and relished the opportunity.
Carantoc
Carantoc
WA
7268 posts
WA, 7268 posts
21 Apr 2026 6:01pm
mmm statistics and probability, and also the constant laws of the universe - all rolled into one.

Not sure I really understand that if he estimates the probably is 2% in any one year then it is inevitable in 50 years. Presumably it doesn't compound, so if nuclear war annihilation didn't happen this year that doesn't mean there is a 4% chance next year, 6% the next etc. Every year the chance remains at 2%. Although I guess it all depends on how you chose to look at statistics. Much like, I wonder, the laws of the universe depend on how you look at them.

Presumably evolution suggests a 99.9% chance humans will become extinct, but I am not sure that chance is 2% in any one year, or even 2% in any generation, let alone 2% from any one mode of extinction possibility.

And then even in that single mode of nuclear weapons maybe a 2% chance in any year for a nuclear bomb detonation in anger, but not 2% for 2 sides annihilating each other and everyone else. That would mean the chance of a unilateral detonation must be way, way higher than 2%, given the number of possibilities following the first boooooom going off.
Carantoc
Carantoc
WA
7268 posts
WA, 7268 posts
20 Apr 2026 12:31pm
myscreenname said..
I'm thinking China's dancing robots win.


Yeah. Sure do look like a winner.

www.news.com.au/sport/carnage-at-start-of-robot-marathon/video/46ebc8457f01447b6a1da22bde4bdbb4
Carantoc
Carantoc
WA
7268 posts
WA, 7268 posts
20 Apr 2026 6:33am
jn1 said..
If it was , she would've been safe.




Eh ?

What you talking 'bout, that makes no sense.
Reply in Topic: Ben Robert Smith
Carantoc
Carantoc
WA
7268 posts
WA, 7268 posts
16 Apr 2026 7:20pm
IanR said..
I support the Palestinian National Authority


Any chance you could expand a little ?

You mean you provide them financial assistance, or you volunteer there or you support them with some sort of tangible assistance?

Or do you mean you hold some sort of moral opinion you vent on a watersports forum pertaining to what you perceive as the wrongs of the world, even though you know little about the actual organisation, controlling members or their practices ?


Reply in Topic: Ben Robert Smith
Carantoc
Carantoc
WA
7268 posts
WA, 7268 posts
16 Apr 2026 8:06am
myscreenname said..
Gaza has been an occupied state ..


Oh yeah, just to be pedant I don't think Gaza has ever been a state, or even really ever claimed to be a state.

Although maybe IanR can use one of his many dictionaries to find a definition of 'state' that meets some description that could also be applied to the Gaza strip.

Checking my dictionary it says 'a' is for apple......
Reply in Topic: Ben Robert Smith
Carantoc
Carantoc
WA
7268 posts
WA, 7268 posts
16 Apr 2026 7:48am
myscreenname said..
Israel is a finished state from what I can tell.



Meh, maybes.

But Israel is also one of the few (if only?) states currently growing its territory.

Maybe you could say Russia is also trying, but I think Russia is more trying to reclaim what it has lost in the last few decades, whereas Israel is taking what it never had.

If Israel continues to expand at the same rate it has since 1948 then it will eventually occupy 87.2% of the combined lands of both the earth and the moon.
Reply in Topic: Ben Robert Smith
Carantoc
Carantoc
WA
7268 posts
WA, 7268 posts
15 Apr 2026 1:03pm
D3 said..
Cammd is more concerned with histotical sex offences by Pakistani men in the UK than any acknowledgment of uncomfortable home truths about Christian Organisations and their leadership in Australia.


From what I read in cammd's posts that's not correct.

I understood it is a difference between the police actively advertising and soliciting to find alleged victims in Pell's case and the police actively silencing and deterring alleged victims who approached the police in the UK Pakistani gangs grooming sexual abuse cases.

Perhaps if the application of investigation and policing was generally perceived to be more consistent / transparent / equitable then myscreenname wouldn't have started this thread ? We can but speculate.
Return To Classic site 😭
Or... let us know if a problem, so we can tweak! 😅