I like the area this one is forming in

www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/4day_col.shtml

If there's another front behind that one to the south it could get really interesting.

It's where it is that gives it potential Sparki, most of them form further N-NE and hit landfall upwards of NW Cape which means the system peters out over land.

If it stays over water and makes it around the Cape it can feed off the warm water and grow and intensify. And if you have a strong front to the south they can feed off each other and then you get a serious storm.

At worst if it continues to run down the coast like that it'll produce a one or two day wonder like the systems we had last year. Smaller, longer period NW swell if it stays out to sea or a thumping, short period N-NW swell if it does a Bianca and runs right along the coast.

Then it's just a matter of finding somewhere where the swell and offshore winds coincide.

Looking at what is going on in the other side of the Indian Ocean, I'd reckon we'll have more fronts on the way across too.
http://www.wavescape.co.za/breaking-news/breaking-news/cyclone-plot-thickens.html

Its a weird situation for a surfer with cyclones. You feel guilty knowing the distruction they cause but full of hope that the will spin off some swell.

I have a bit of a theory about cylcones in WA. Unless they come right down the coast we dont get direct swell but the intense low in the north can pull the southerly storms higher up throwing some swell our way rather than passing us by which is typical in summer.

Indirect rather than an east coast style direct benefit

Getting really interesting now, expect this thing to be better than Bianca.
Forecast looks outrageous

Thurs 02/02
Knee-Waist high
swell NW direction
morning E/SE 30-45+ knots
arvo S/SW 30-40+ knots
evening S/SW 25-35 knots

you are frothing over this? am I missing something, maybe good for kiting/windsurfing

smicko said...

Getting really interesting now,

Yer.

surferstu said...

Thurs 02/02
Knee-Waist high
swell NW direction
morning E/SE 30-45+ knots
arvo S/SW 30-40+ knots
evening S/SW 25-35 knots

you are frothing over this? am I missing something, maybe good for kiting/windsurfing

The direction is everything, will get into places that need 2-3m+ SW swell to break.

The way that thing has been jumping around it could end up anywhere. But my fingers are still crossed.

Not a sight we get to see too often...

No swell being generated locally yet! Jurien only 1m at the moment.

First hour in water. Crazy dry sand wedge running for about 40 metres but sorry to have sinned as it can only be ridden laying down.

Definite north swell and novelty spots that like north swell now the go.

3 pm kids pick up and then back in water.

WA swell buoys showing an ineresting story.

Indodreaming said...

First hour in water. Crazy dry sand wedge running for about 40 metres but sorry to have sinned as it can only be ridden laying down.

Definite north swell and novelty spots that like north swell now the go.

3 pm kids pick up and then back in water.

WA swell buoys showing an ineresting story.

Wish I could go for a paddle

doggie said...

newguy said...

Indodreaming said...

First hour in water. Crazy dry sand wedge running for about 40 metres but sorry to have sinned as it can only be ridden laying down.

Definite north swell and novelty spots that like north swell now the go.

3 pm kids pick up and then back in water.

WA swell buoys showing an ineresting story.

Wish I could go for a paddle

Same, we had a death in the family today so no beach for me

My regards to your family mate. May your loved one rest in peace.

Indodreaming said...

First hour in water. Crazy dry sand wedge running for about 40 metres but sorry to have sinned as it can only be ridden laying down.

Definite north swell and novelty spots that like north swell now the go.

3 pm kids pick up and then back in water.

WA swell buoys showing an ineresting story.

medge?

25 out at tp about 1ish today riding knee high straight handers.

check out jurien swell boueeey!!! gone from 1m this morning to 3.5 late this rvo.

fu4343 fu%%$ Fuc6&^%^ choosing to play cricket again...was so ****^&ING