How much trust do YOU put into them?

We all seat back at work or doing other things and start dreaming of our next free time.

I get excited but sometimes they get it wrong.

How much trust do you put in yours and who do you seek the information from?

I chatted with Asea Thursday and his prediction over the weekend has proved correct,now I await tomorrow
for a promising outcome.

Edit - for Scotty

Learn to read a weather map and go from there. Lots of great tools out there these days to make life easy.

WindyTV is a great source of knowledge.

If you just trusting the main guys - swellnet, coastalwatch, surfline and magic seaweed then keep records of them - when they are good and when they fail. They should be pretty good three days out.

Also BOM is a great reference point. Most people base a lot of their stuff off them. If you want to go out more than three days then you can pay for a premium service - but really there is no need. You can get a good handle on things by watching the longer models on windytv to see where the swell is. Also watch the BOM coastal Observations - you can see what the winds are doing up and down the coast.

The key is to work out who to trust the most in your area. So you need to do some homework and then make some calls yourself. Personally never have to much drama these days with all the tools at my disposal.

I normally check the weather at least 2 or 3 times a day - sometimes more ! Always looking at what is happening out where the swell comes from and making my own judgement calls. I hate it at this time of the year as the WA to VIC coast starts to light up and there is nothing here.

Scotty Teds too full on

Here ya go Mac - start with this - pics for you and Scotty !

magicseaweed.com/Pacific-Storms/

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Ted the Kiwi said..
Learn to read a weather map and go from there. Lots of great tools out there these days to make life easy. WindyTV is a great source of knowledge. If you just trusting the main guys - swellnet, coastalwatch and magic seaweed then keep records of them - when they are good and when they fail. They should be pretty good three days out. Also BOM is a great reference point. Most people base a lot of their stuff off them. If you want to go out more than three days then you can a premium service - but really there is no need. You can get a good handle on things by watching the longer models on windytv to see where the swell is. Also watch the BOM coastal Observations - you can see what the winds are doing up and down the coast. The key is to work out who to trust the most in your area. So you need to do some homework and then make some calls yourself. Personally never have to much drama these days with all the tools at my disposal. I normally check the weather at least 2 or 3 times a day - sometimes more ! Always looking at what is happening out where the swell comes from and making my own judgement calls.

And thats why asea gets waves. Learn the wind and swell and you will be ok.


Go use that bike of yours Mac and check out the banks at your local ....oops you only surf lm. How in the **** can you get that place wrong?

First thing I do before I go to bed is check the wind....first thing I do when I wake up is check the wind...I know where I will be surfing just from that

Thanks Ted, just downloaded the windytv app

Wind wind wind. Yep. Also the first thing I do when I get up

www.bom.gov.au/products/IDQ60801/IDQ60801.94592.shtml

Watch this for QLD

www.bom.gov.au/qld/observations/qldall.shtml

This for NSW

www.bom.gov.au/nsw/observations/coastal.shtml


Swell - check the buoys

new.mhl.nsw.gov.au/data/realtime/wave/Buoy-byrbow

www.qld.gov.au/environment/coasts-waterways/beach/monitoring/waves-sites/gold-coast

So wind and buoys to use on the day and monitor wind and swell arriving / leaving

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chrispy said..

Ted the Kiwi said..
Learn to read a weather map and go from there. Lots of great tools out there these days to make life easy. WindyTV is a great source of knowledge. If you just trusting the main guys - swellnet, coastalwatch and magic seaweed then keep records of them - when they are good and when they fail. They should be pretty good three days out. Also BOM is a great reference point. Most people base a lot of their stuff off them. If you want to go out more than three days then you can a premium service - but really there is no need. You can get a good handle on things by watching the longer models on windytv to see where the swell is. Also watch the BOM coastal Observations - you can see what the winds are doing up and down the coast. The key is to work out who to trust the most in your area. So you need to do some homework and then make some calls yourself. Personally never have to much drama these days with all the tools at my disposal. I normally check the weather at least 2 or 3 times a day - sometimes more ! Always looking at what is happening out where the swell comes from and making my own judgement calls.

And thats why asea gets waves. Learn the wind and swell and you will be ok.


Go use that bike of yours Mac and check out the banks at your local ....oops you only surf lm. How in the **** can you get that place wrong?

First thing I do before I go to bed is check the wind....first thing I do when I wake up is check the wind...I know where I will be surfing just from that

True Chrispy I was thinking long term forecast 5 days plus.

But your earlier question talks about forecasting - so you need to get in with the big stuff and explore and learn.

Also have a look on swellnet as a learning platform

Check this stuff out

http://www.swellnet.com/reports/australia/queensland/gold-coast/forecaster-notes

Read that every few days when it comes out and compare that to what you are seeing and the judgement calls you are making. You will learn very quickly.

Also Seabreeze does a reasonable job depending where you live

I like this new feature of the new website - it picks up the wind in the coastal locations around where you are

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Macaha said..

chrispy said..

Ted the Kiwi said..
Learn to read a weather map and go from there. Lots of great tools out there these days to make life easy. WindyTV is a great source of knowledge. If you just trusting the main guys - swellnet, coastalwatch and magic seaweed then keep records of them - when they are good and when they fail. They should be pretty good three days out. Also BOM is a great reference point. Most people base a lot of their stuff off them. If you want to go out more than three days then you can a premium service - but really there is no need. You can get a good handle on things by watching the longer models on windytv to see where the swell is. Also watch the BOM coastal Observations - you can see what the winds are doing up and down the coast. The key is to work out who to trust the most in your area. So you need to do some homework and then make some calls yourself. Personally never have to much drama these days with all the tools at my disposal. I normally check the weather at least 2 or 3 times a day - sometimes more ! Always looking at what is happening out where the swell comes from and making my own judgement calls.

And thats why asea gets waves. Learn the wind and swell and you will be ok.


Go use that bike of yours Mac and check out the banks at your local ....oops you only surf lm. How in the **** can you get that place wrong?

First thing I do before I go to bed is check the wind....first thing I do when I wake up is check the wind...I know where I will be surfing just from that

True Chrispy I was thinking long term forecast 5 days plus.

Yep learn to read weather maps


But we have it really easy on the coast compared to the stupid of the East Coast when it comes to predictions imo

I usually get on the BOM site and check the forecast Synoptics and they are laid out 4 days ahead . When I'm waiting for a southerly to hit I check out the BOM site again and look under observations or get on the radar section to track storms .

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Ted the Kiwi said..
Learn to read a weather map and go from there. Lots of great tools out there these days to make life easy. WindyTV is a great source of knowledge. If you just trusting the main guys - swellnet, coastalwatch, surfline and magic seaweed then keep records of them - when they are good and when they fail. They should be pretty good three days out. Also BOM is a great reference point. Most people base a lot of their stuff off them. If you want to go out more than three days then you can pay for a premium service - but really there is no need. You can get a good handle on things by watching the longer models on windytv to see where the swell is. Also watch the BOM coastal Observations - you can see what the winds are doing up and down the coast. The key is to work out who to trust the most in your area. So you need to do some homework and then make some calls yourself. Personally never have to much drama these days with all the tools at my disposal. I normally check the weather at least 2 or 3 times a day - sometimes more ! Always looking at what is happening out where the swell comes from and making my own judgement calls. I hate it at this time of the year as the WA to VIC coast starts to light up and there is nothing here.

Point form with paragraphs please Ted.
No chance reading all that

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NewScotty said..

Ted the Kiwi said..
Learn to read a weather map and go from there. Lots of great tools out there these days to make life easy. WindyTV is a great source of knowledge. If you just trusting the main guys - swellnet, coastalwatch, surfline and magic seaweed then keep records of them - when they are good and when they fail. They should be pretty good three days out. Also BOM is a great reference point. Most people base a lot of their stuff off them. If you want to go out more than three days then you can pay for a premium service - but really there is no need. You can get a good handle on things by watching the longer models on windytv to see where the swell is. Also watch the BOM coastal Observations - you can see what the winds are doing up and down the coast. The key is to work out who to trust the most in your area. So you need to do some homework and then make some calls yourself. Personally never have to much drama these days with all the tools at my disposal. I normally check the weather at least 2 or 3 times a day - sometimes more ! Always looking at what is happening out where the swell comes from and making my own judgement calls. I hate it at this time of the year as the WA to VIC coast starts to light up and there is nothing here.

Point form with paragraphs please Ted.
No chance reading all that

forecast souths miss top 8

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NewScotty said..

Point form with paragraphs please Ted.
No chance reading all that

Point taken and adjustments made. You just need to stick to windytv - right up your alley bro

Beer in Manly this week Scotty? Wed / Thurs or Friday works for me

I look eagerly, but only in excited anticipation...if I have the day off & there is anything resembling a wave I'm out there. If its significantly bigger or smaller than expected I pop home for another board. But yeah, I don't put a lot of trust in them from the point of view that the wind predicted to be the predominant wind for the morning/mid day/arvo may be later or lighter than expected & even if correct the other wave effecting elements may well over power any disturbance in froth.

Meteye on BOM for wind forescast.
We have local live wind on Baywinds.
Mostly doing flatwater stuff so swell not that critical.
But just go and look.

BOM
Stormsurf
Willy Weather
Swellnet
Coastwatch
Seabreeze

...I'm pretty obsessive about weather...some times it leads to a bad case of over froth

..Down here if something starts spinning up around Heard Island I'll start tracking it and cross my fingers..when it gets close I'm on checking every hour that day before it arrives....the difference between good weather and **** is about 4 hrs in Summer and 1-2 hrs in Winter

I never learnt to read them all that well, but now it just does not matter anymore. I'm far more likely to avoid going in when it's big than when it's small.

Planning trips around a forecast was too much hard work, I just go when I'm scheduled to go, and take my chances, as well as a good book to read.

I use them to plan my sickies...
Certain number mean a certain point will be breaking and that means i'm ringing up sick.

Day to day i look but not obsessive. Not going anywhere but local and usually have an idea of what it will be like anyway.

I like Seabreeze charts. Buoyweather was good before they only let you look 2 days ahead and the usual suspects BOM, Swellnet and Coastal watch seem to cover this bit of coast pretty good. Weather zone is usually pretty good for winds predictions as well.

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Ted the Kiwi said..

NewScotty said..

Point form with paragraphs please Ted.
No chance reading all that

Point taken and adjustments made. You just need to stick to windytv - right up your alley bro

Beer in Manly this week Scotty? Wed / Thurs or Friday works for me

Logistical nightmare to get to Manly at the moment with 3 x kids sports,training,etc every arvo.

Im over northern beaches tomorrow if you're keen for brunch at Girdlers cafe.

Quick glance at any chart that's working , outside spit on the finger & see where the wind really is blowing - then into the car to actually see it

Mostly I just get up at 4 - and get the fark out for a look & surf it anyway

I find Willyweather is usually pretty on the mark,just put in your desired location.As above to go looking

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Macaha said..

I chatted with Asea Thursday and his prediction over the weekend has proved correct,now I await tomorrow
for a promising outcome.

Bang on the money by the look of it - keep a close on eye on Ben and see how he performs over the coming months.


Let's cut to the chase - northerly winds (along with a lack of swell) will severely limit quality surf options across all coasts this weekend. In fact, these local northerlies will be our major swell source for the weekend, at least in Northern NSW, specifically the Mid North Coast. We've only got small levels of trade swell ahead for SE Qld and there's no new south swell on the cards.I could go on at length about the possible surfable options but really, the only timeframe to consider surfing will be early Saturday morning (small leftover swells in all areas, possible brief NW breeze) and then maybe Sundayafternoon across the lower half of the Northern NSW coast as an approaching trough from the south weakens the pressure gradient and creates a period of lighter winds. Saturday's strengthening northerly may whip up some small local windswell for the Northern NSW region, but it'll ease in sync with the abating wind speed through Sunday. Exposed southern ends may pick up some rideable options throughout Sunday as the wind backs off - our model has well under 10kts across the Mid North Coast from lunchtime onwards so it'll be worth keeping an eye on the obs and the surfcams for signs of life.

But if you have any other worthwhile options away from the coast this weekend, they'll be worth exercising instead.


http://www.swellnet.com/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2017/02/17/poor-weekend

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NewScotty said..

Logistical nightmare to get to Manly at the moment with 3 x kids sports,training,etc every arvo.

Im over northern beaches tomorrow if you're keen for brunch at Girdlers cafe.

Ahhh I am in the City tom but Manly rest of the week - probably next week as well if that works.

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Ted the Kiwi said..

Macaha said..

I chatted with Asea Thursday and his prediction over the weekend has proved correct,now I await tomorrow
for a promising outcome.

Bang on the money by the look of it - keep a close on eye on Ben and see how he performs over the coming months.


Let's cut to the chase - northerly winds (along with a lack of swell) will severely limit quality surf options across all coasts this weekend. In fact, these local northerlies will be our major swell source for the weekend, at least in Northern NSW, specifically the Mid North Coast. We've only got small levels of trade swell ahead for SE Qld and there's no new south swell on the cards.I could go on at length about the possible surfable options but really, the only timeframe to consider surfing will be early Saturday morning (small leftover swells in all areas, possible brief NW breeze) and then maybe Sundayafternoon across the lower half of the Northern NSW coast as an approaching trough from the south weakens the pressure gradient and creates a period of lighter winds. Saturday's strengthening northerly may whip up some small local windswell for the Northern NSW region, but it'll ease in sync with the abating wind speed through Sunday. Exposed southern ends may pick up some rideable options throughout Sunday as the wind backs off - our model has well under 10kts across the Mid North Coast from lunchtime onwards so it'll be worth keeping an eye on the obs and the surfcams for signs of life.

But if you have any other worthwhile options away from the coast this weekend, they'll be worth exercising instead.


http://www.swellnet.com/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2017/02/17/poor-weekend

They are usually a bit off with the local winds down here...which works out well cause unless your up checking you miss the windows on the early

Question for mac...

How did you come up with it will only be a shortboard day tomorrow?

It is looking like a awesome day on the Longboards

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chrispy said..
Question for mac...

How did you come up with it will only be a shortboard day tomorrow?

It is looking like a awesome day on the Longboards

Oh thats easy I'm too old once it hits 3 foot and its really sweepy I'm done.

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Macaha said..

chrispy said..
Question for mac...

How did you come up with it will only be a shortboard day tomorrow?

It is looking like a awesome day on the Longboards

Oh thats easy I'm too old once it hits 3 foot and its really sweepy I'm done.

bs... high tide in the morning will be some nice fat walls ,,,,see you there

Magic seaweed ,willy weather and synoptic charts.

this guy has always been on top of things as well Mac