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gavnwend said..
Your chances are 1in 3746 067 this is the lifetime odds of being killed by a G.W.shark according to one surf magazine.realisticlly you got more chance of getting killed by a domestic dog.
I like statistics,
this is number is equated from all the people in the entire world....
let me me break it down further
1.371 billion (2015) People in China with hardly any surfers
1.311 billion (2015) People in India
Than there are another 47 land locked countries...
lets go to reunion island where there have been 20 attacks with 12 of those fatal since 2011
Population 720000 total.
thats a 1/36000 chance of a shark attack, but out of the entire population and as per all islands or places you would be hard pressed to say the population that surfs is 30% so it's a 1/12000 chance of shark attack for these people. But this is only from 2011 until now. So if you double the time span it's only another 6 years and the stats are now 1/6000.....
but generally people who surf will surf forever right up until 50 or 60 +++++ so another 18 years from 2023 takes us to 2041 where as a surfer on reunion island you would have a stat of 1/750 of being attacked by a shark........
lets ts now move our attention back to Australia where there are 27 million people, how many of these people surf... Half???
ok being generous 13.5 million people in Australia surf so immediately the stats are at around 1/750000 chance of being killed by a shark...
but how many of these people surf in the shark state wa maybe and at most with Perthshire population 2 million total plus another million or so scattered through the state so 3million total.
30% either surf or dive so 1 million total with about 14-15 deaths in west oz in ten years you have a chance of at a bare minimum 1/75000 to be eaten and killed by a shark in ten years of surfing, and this is being generous on the stats..... Over 20 years 1/37500 over 30 years 1/18000 over 40 years 1/9000.....
but this takes the whole coast into account and the whole population in west oz...
isolate it by break or location Ie Esperance to Perth. Km divided by amount of surfers divided by amount of attacks divided by people in the water.......
lets go further too many surfers would fall into the once a month category so people who surf twice as much as these people have odds that are double 1/4500
people that surf every day in the aw have odds by the power of 7.....
1/1285
one chance of being eaten to death in 1285 down south how do you like those stats
( it would be higher than this if I had used a calculator and taken in all other factors surf break or specific area erect ect)