Dick Smith Population Puzzle

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Gizmo
Gizmo
SA
2865 posts
SA, 2865 posts
13 Aug 2010 10:07am
Interesting debate on the ABC Q&A last night on the population of Australia.
Good points from both sides, a lot for us all to think about.

www.abc.net.au/tv/populationpuzzle/index.html
www.abc.net.au/qanda/q-and-a-population-debate-special/10662888
GreenPat
GreenPat
QLD
4103 posts
QLD, 4103 posts
13 Aug 2010 12:07pm
So do you win the blondes and the puppy as well as the cash if you find a solution?
frant
frant
VIC
1230 posts
VIC, 1230 posts
13 Aug 2010 12:13pm
GreenPat said...

So do you win the blondes and the puppy as well as the cash if you find a solution?


F*** the puppy. Just take the cash.
Sailhack
Sailhack
VIC
5000 posts
VIC, 5000 posts
13 Aug 2010 1:52pm
frant said...

F*** the puppy. Just take the cash.


...That's frowned upon in most countries these days.
getfunky
getfunky
WA
4485 posts
WA, 4485 posts
13 Aug 2010 11:59am
frant said...

GreenPat said...

So do you win the blondes and the puppy as well as the cash if you find a solution?


F*** the puppies Just AND take the cash.


Fixed that for yer
NotWal
NotWal
QLD
7436 posts
QLD, 7436 posts
13 Aug 2010 2:08pm
It was interesting.

That topic has been so quiet for so long and yet the potential for disaster is common knowledge. Suddenly we have a Minister for Sustainable Population and he has a job and a half to get on top of it.

Dick Smith has been pretty effective at raising awareness.
Mobydisc
Mobydisc
NSW
9029 posts
NSW, 9029 posts
13 Aug 2010 3:14pm
Having a lower population density was something that was good about Australia.
Its sad that nowdays the east coast of Australia is turning into one huge urban strip. What were small towns and villages are now becoming bigger and are spreading out to touch each other. The farmland inbetween is being chopped up into house blocks. Road and bridges that were designed and built60 years ago are too busy.

The pro growth people on Q&A didn't have a decent argument for increasing Australia's population. Its stupid to say we need more people to pay taxes to look after old people. What happens in 40 or 50 years time? Do we need more people to look after the people we had paying tax 50 years ago?

I'm bloody glad John Elliott didn't become a politician.








getfunky
getfunky
WA
4485 posts
WA, 4485 posts
13 Aug 2010 2:54pm
Felt sorry for the Lib bloke trying to give credible well presented ideas (even if they differ from my ideas) with a fat ignorant pre-historic boat anchor like Elliot (rightly or wrongly -still being associated with the libs) dragging the whole panel into a farce.

Gotta admire Dick Smith. Don't always agree with him but he's a legend and takes criticism better than most.
log man
log man
VIC
8289 posts
VIC, 8289 posts
13 Aug 2010 6:27pm
Yeah, a bit, no alot, underwhelming. It seemed to me that his basic premise that high density living is inferior to the 1/4 acre block lifestyle is just wrong. I moved from tassie to Melbourne for the excitement and sophistication of the city now I want to move to New York. Maybe in a few years 100 acres in the bush might seem attractive but right now the country is a bit dull. Dick may be a smart businessman but his view of AU seems simplistic and unsophisticated, like he wants to turn back the clock to a golden age that never really was
ginger pom
ginger pom
VIC
1746 posts
VIC, 1746 posts
13 Aug 2010 7:52pm
I moved here based on the fact that the standard of living was better and I could live comfortably close to a big city and still have some space...

that said Australians really look like whingers when they start to say "we're full" because compared to pretty much every other country, Australia is practically empty.

But then that's bull****, compared to India, Australian's have a good standard of healthcare and compared to South Africa, Australia has a low level of violent crime... it's not to say that Australia should aim for more violent crime or worse healthcare because of some global average...

I suppose it comes down to your views on rights. If you believe that a country has the right to close its borders to other people, then it follows that it can control its population. Just because another country is growing fast, it doesn't oblige Australia to grow fast.

But it doesn't follow that high national population density is low standard of living, if log man wants to live in a high density city while he's in his twenties and I want to live in a ok sized house in the burbs and the boomers want to live in the country when they retire then that works fine... it just needs a bit of thinking and a lot of investment in transport.
getfunky
getfunky
WA
4485 posts
WA, 4485 posts
13 Aug 2010 6:10pm
I just wish there were less POMs bringing the standards down. Kidding Ginger.

We do need to realise that urban sprawl and over consumption is never gonna last.

Have a modest house on a 400m square block. I guess that's not huge (not compared to the McMansions surrounding the area) and definately not tiny. Feels like a luxurious castle compared to how most of the world lives.

Oz is great and we are sooo lucky, but our tune will have to change with expanding population and water on the wane.
Globetrotter
Globetrotter
74 posts
74 posts
13 Aug 2010 6:37pm
I moved from tassie to Melbourne for the excitement and sophistication of the city

Excitement yes sophistication? With 2 shooting today, it puts holes in your argument!!!

How does high density living make a city or you more sophisticated?

I personally love the 1/4 acre block, if people wish to live high density that's fine there is the city for that, but don't force everyone into it.

My suburb is loosing it 1/4 blocks to town houses ect, benefits are McDonalds, KFC & the likes have all opened up, also i stand to make a small fortune if i choose to develop!! Down side lack of parking in street, noticeable rise in graffiti, hostilities between neighbors & groups loitering on W/E. (its not that bad but compared with 30 years ago it is bad)
egga
egga
NSW
18 posts
NSW, 18 posts
13 Aug 2010 8:57pm
I thought the show was going to be Dick, Dick, Dick..... sorry Dick. I think you have nailed it well done! How much vodka do you reckon John Elliot had in his water? he had to be 3 parts pissed!!
FormulaNova
FormulaNova
WA
15100 posts
WA, 15100 posts
13 Aug 2010 7:01pm
log man said...

Yeah, a bit, no alot, underwhelming. It seemed to me that his basic premise that high density living is inferior to the 1/4 acre block lifestyle is just wrong. I moved from tassie to Melbourne for the excitement and sophistication of the city now I want to move to New York. Maybe in a few years 100 acres in the bush might seem attractive but right now the country is a bit dull. Dick may be a smart businessman but his view of AU seems simplistic and unsophisticated, like he wants to turn back the clock to a golden age that never really was


What do you mean a golden age that never really was? I felt that I have lived in that age, growing up in a relatively expansive suburban environment, that was pretty safe to get around.

Now, I think its unfair that those sort of environments are being bought out to develop them, apparently without opening up enough land to replace the typical suburban building blocks. If you really expect 36 million people, will you be able to support that sort of use of space in the future?

If the current Australian population, whoever it happens to be, is not able to provide the growth that is expected, then I would argue that its not meant to increase. I think there is a trade off a lot of people have between having kids, buy a house, and working a reasonable number of hours.

If you end up with people not having enough children to keep up the population growth because they have to pay a fortune for a house, then what is the obvious answer?

How is even more population growth and increased demand for a restricted supply of housing going to help that?

As Dick pointed out, he is wealthy already, and any increase in population is going to increase his wealth again, yet he sees that unsustainable population growth is just not a good idea.

Australia will never be as exciting as somewhere like New York, but then again, Australia does not have the same resources as the USA.
sharkbiscuit
sharkbiscuit
820 posts
820 posts
13 Aug 2010 7:06pm
The wisdom 20 years ago (when I was studying economics) was that Australia was under populated, and to achieve better efficiency, we had to increase our population. The analogy was the torque peak of an engine. We weren't revving the engine enough ! (Economist's call this economy's of scale). I suppose the 'economy's of scale' argument looks good on paper, but Dick raised some realities that I agree with. I think he is right it that will take new politicians to tackle this issue.

J
landyacht
landyacht
WA
5921 posts
WA, 5921 posts
13 Aug 2010 7:33pm
you'd have to hope the Elliot and his redneck cronies will pass on and let others get on with the job of fixing it up again
Gizmo
Gizmo
SA
2865 posts
SA, 2865 posts
13 Aug 2010 9:47pm
When they mentioned the bit about needing more population to support the pension system for the baby boomers alarm bells started ringing for me.... as they mentioned a "Ponzi" or "Pyramid" scheme it is just NOT sustainable, the current politicians are only interested in the short term fix and leave the future problems to someone else.
japie
japie
NSW
7146 posts
NSW, 7146 posts
13 Aug 2010 11:04pm
I have always found Dick Smith to be brilliant. He never shies away from a problem and has the intellect to realise that most of the problems we face are solved technically and rely on science, not opinions coloured by folk who have a greedy agenda.

Not in a million years says John, we know whose side you are on Elliot. People listen to him and are guided by so many influential folk of his ilk, like John Opinions for Sale Laws, and Alan in the Gents Jones.

In civilised galaxys intergalitic travels occur through time. These guys are land anchors to progress and toward civilisation.

In todays system the world population is very finite owing to our impact our foot print. If we trod softly and lived as we know is technically possible, the world is very capable of holding a vast number more than it is currently capable.

In Jaque Frescos model decision making is made by a central computer loaded with all of human empirical knowledge. While building the IT a world wide survey would be made of the worlds resources. From there on no more solutions made by politicians.

No more politicians!!!!!!!!!!

Imagine the creativity that could break loose in such a system. When universal intelligence overcomes universal stupidity.

Imagine being able to be on the water when ever you wanted to be!

Imagine if every person was so focused on a universal goal, the achievements that scientists could make to our whole planet if there was no limit to their creativity, particularly the influence of profit.

Our whole system is corrupt and until we take serious notice of what science tells us we are in serious trouble and it is getting worse by the day
saltiest1
saltiest1
NSW
2568 posts
NSW, 2568 posts
14 Aug 2010 12:51am
japie said...

I have always found Dick Smith to be brilliant. He never shies away from a problem and has the intellect to realise that most of the problems we face are solved technically and rely on science, not opinions coloured by folk who have a greedy agenda.

Not in a million years says John, we know whose side you are on Elliot. People listen to him and are guided by so many influential folk of his ilk, like John Opinions for Sale Laws, and Alan in the Gents Jones.

In civilised galaxys intergalitic travels occur through time. These guys are land anchors to progress and toward civilisation.

In todays system the world population is very finite owing to our impact our foot print. If we trod softly and lived as we know is technically possible, the world is very capable of holding a vast number more than it is currently capable.

In Jaque Frescos model decision making is made by a central computer loaded with all of human empirical knowledge. While building the IT a world wide survey would be made of the worlds resources. From there on no more solutions made by politicians.

No more politicians!!!!!!!!!!

Imagine the creativity that could break loose in such a system. When universal intelligence overcomes universal stupidity.

Imagine being able to be on the water when ever you wanted to be!

Imagine if every person was so focused on a universal goal, the achievements that scientists could make to our whole planet if there was no limit to their creativity, particularly the influence of profit.






mate, my daughter is 9. she has a movie called "Barbie in Fairytopia".
Have you seen it?

as long as humans are in control, do you think things will improve or will greed, $$$, and ego get in the way?

good on dick for raising a great topic for debate.
japie
japie
NSW
7146 posts
NSW, 7146 posts
14 Aug 2010 1:57pm
saltiest1 said...

mate, my daughter is 9. she has a movie called "Barbie in Fairytopia".
Have you seen it?

as long as humans are in control, do you think things will improve or will greed, $$$, and ego get in the way?

good on dick for raising a great topic for debate.



No I can't say I have seen it. Fairytopia hey? Is it good? I tried to keep my daughter away from that type of stuff. Neither she or her brother have turned out to be typical "products of our society" for which I have to be eternally thankful.

Scientists wrote whole theses on why man could never fly and if you were to travel back in time, not very far back, and were to tell any one what today was like they would say not in a million years!

Who knows what the future will bring? What is certain is that the cupboard is filling up and changes will have to be made. My guess is that there is going to be some really bad **** goes down before that happens. I reckon it will probably involve nuclear weapons.

There is a lot of speculation that this will also involve the people taking up the most space catching a cold.

Sadly this is likely the only thing that is going to change the minds of the not in a million yearers!

When people finally wake up to the fact that our system is completely corrupt and change it for a better system we will come of age as a species and realise our true potential.

And, Saltiest, in that system there will be no Barbie in Fairytopia. Your average nine year old daughter will likely be studying calculus and playing a musical instrument in concerts when she is not with her family and friends. She will not be subject to the eternal mindless claptrap that is used to dumb our kids down and keep them on the wheel and as far away from possible to their true potential.

cisco
cisco
QLD
12365 posts
QLD, 12365 posts
14 Aug 2010 2:18pm
I thought the most interesting and alarming part of his film was the "population/time line" graph he put on his garage wall.

The sharp rise in population happened at the time of, and most likely because of, the use of oil as a fuel.

I do believe we need people in all levels of government (beaurocracy as well as elected) that are able to think and see like Dick Smith.

Gerry Harvey is another who has this type of vision, ie thinks outside of himself.

Thanks to Gizmo for raising the topic. I wanted to do it myself but hesitated because I, as a known and identified red neck, did not want to taint his good work.
cisco
cisco
QLD
12365 posts
QLD, 12365 posts
14 Aug 2010 2:30pm
japie said...
When people finally wake up to the fact that our system is completely corrupt and change it for a better system we will come of age as a species and realise our true potential.

And, Saltiest, in that system there will be no Barbie in Fairytopia. Your average nine year old daughter will likely be studying calculus and playing a musical instrument in concerts when she is not with her family and friends. She will not be subject to the eternal mindless claptrap that is used to dumb our kids down and keep them on the wheel and as far away from possible to their true potential.




Very well said japie. The dumbing down of our children is I believe the most criminal thing happening in our society.

BTW Does anybody else on the forum besides japie and I know what the word "japie" (pronounced yaarpy) means. Maybe japie could explain.
petermac33
petermac33
WA
6415 posts
WA, 6415 posts
14 Aug 2010 3:08pm
this is one topic i have to disagree with Cisco + Japie on.

i reckon Dick Smith is a front guy for the corporate establishment, the one's pushing this nonesense that the earth cannot take an increase in population.

'they' are using their minnion, Dick Smith in this case to push this crap.

the sheep, believing this nonesense are more likely to accept a carbon tax!

multifaceted crap actually!

lost my respect for Dick Smith when he funded the attack on the Australian Vaccination Network,proof to me anyway, that he is one of 'them'.

p.s the AVN is against vaccination.

Mobydisc
Mobydisc
NSW
9029 posts
NSW, 9029 posts
14 Aug 2010 6:00pm
petermac33 said...

this is one topic i have to disagree with Cisco + Japie on.

i reckon Dick Smith is a front guy for the corporate establishment, the one's pushing this nonesense that the earth cannot take an increase in population.

'they' are using their minnion, Dick Smith in this case to push this crap.

the sheep, believing this nonesense are more likely to accept a carbon tax!

multifaceted crap actually!

lost my respect for Dick Smith when he funded the attack on the Australian Vaccination Network,proof to me anyway, that he is one of 'them'.

p.s the AVN is against vaccination.




Very strange logic working there. Firstly big business is generally pro growth. More people has a number of effects, generally positive for business. Effects such as a larger pool of labour to draw upon, a larger market to sell goods and services are the two biggest reasons why the business sector is generally pro growth.

If you had watched the Q&A session after the show you would have seen most of the pro growth people were from the business sector.

Secondly a smaller population is less likely to need some sort of tax on carbon than a larger population. If Australia had a population of about 1 million, we could live almost however we liked and not emit as much carbon from our activities than an Australia with a population of say 50 million. So what Australia would be more likely to bring in a tax on carbon emissions? Any such tax would be more effective if there are more tax payers.

I do not believe Dick Smith is anyone's minion. He is independently wealthy and doesn't owe anyone anything. He made his wealth through his entrepreneurship and hard work. He is using the same skills to problems he sees facing Australia, not problems some shadowy group out there wants sorted out.

Criticism of the AVN is warranted. Any group that attacks the grieving parents of a baby who died from a disease that is out in the community because of lower vaccination rates, is an organisation that does not deserve the support of any right thinking person. The AVN are extremists, pushing their particular ideological barrow even when it results in disease and death.



log man
log man
VIC
8289 posts
VIC, 8289 posts
14 Aug 2010 6:42pm
FormulaNova said...

log man said...

Yeah, a bit, no alot, underwhelming. It seemed to me that his basic premise that high density living is inferior to the 1/4 acre block lifestyle is just wrong. I moved from tassie to Melbourne for the excitement and sophistication of the city now I want to move to New York. Maybe in a few years 100 acres in the bush might seem attractive but right now the country is a bit dull. Dick may be a smart businessman but his view of AU seems simplistic and unsophisticated, like he wants to turn back the clock to a golden age that never really was


What do you mean a golden age that never really was? I felt that I have lived in that age, growing up in a relatively expansive suburban environment, that was pretty safe to get around.

Now, I think its unfair that those sort of environments are being bought out to develop them, apparently without opening up enough land to replace the typical suburban building blocks. If you really expect 36 million people, will you be able to support that sort of use of space in the future?

If the current Australian population, whoever it happens to be, is not able to provide the growth that is expected, then I would argue that its not meant to increase. I think there is a trade off a lot of people have between having kids, buy a house, and working a reasonable number of hours.

If you end up with people not having enough children to keep up the population growth because they have to pay a fortune for a house, then what is the obvious answer?

How is even more population growth and increased demand for a restricted supply of housing going to help that?

As Dick pointed out, he is wealthy already, and any increase in population is going to increase his wealth again, yet he sees that unsustainable population growth is just not a good idea.

Australia will never be as exciting as somewhere like New York, but then again, Australia does not have the same resources as the USA.


Formulanova: sure Australia of the 1950's and 1960s had wide open spaces and a great climate and a freedom to do things that maybe we miss decades later but I think we definatly look back with rose coloured glasses. I remember Tassie in the sixties and seventies not as a haven but as a place where intolerance reined and a frontier mentality meant small mindedness usually led to the exodus of anyone 18 and over . And to some extent most of Australia still suffers from the limitation of small populations. Big cities have layers of sophistication that drive culture and Dick Smiths premise for the whole doco is predicated on the theory that big cities are bad and 1'4 acre blocks are good . I don't buy it
log man
log man
VIC
8289 posts
VIC, 8289 posts
14 Aug 2010 6:54pm
Mobydisc said...

petermac33 said...

this is one topic i have to disagree with Cisco + Japie on.

i reckon Dick Smith is a front guy for the corporate establishment, the one's pushing this nonesense that the earth cannot take an increase in population.

'they' are using their minnion, Dick Smith in this case to push this crap.

the sheep, believing this nonesense are more likely to accept a carbon tax!

multifaceted crap actually!

lost my respect for Dick Smith when he funded the attack on the Australian Vaccination Network,proof to me anyway, that he is one of 'them'.

p.s the AVN is against vaccination.




Very strange logic working there. Firstly big business is generally pro growth. More people has a number of effects, generally positive for business. Effects such as a larger pool of labour to draw upon, a larger market to sell goods and services are the two biggest reasons why the business sector is generally pro growth.

If you had watched the Q&A session after the show you would have seen most of the pro growth people were from the business sector.

Secondly a smaller population is less likely to need some sort of tax on carbon than a larger population. If Australia had a population of about 1 million, we could live almost however we liked and not emit as much carbon from our activities than an Australia with a population of say 50 million. So what Australia would be more likely to bring in a tax on carbon emissions? Any such tax would be more effective if there are more tax payers.

I do not believe Dick Smith is anyone's minion. He is independently wealthy and doesn't owe anyone anything. He made his wealth through his entrepreneurship and hard work. He is using the same skills to problems he sees facing Australia, not problems some shadowy group out there wants sorted out.

Criticism of the AVN is warranted. Any group that attacks the grieving parents of a baby who died from a disease that is out in the community because of lower vaccination rates, is an organisation that does not deserve the support of any right thinking person. The AVN are extremists, pushing their particular ideological barrow even when it results in disease and death.






Well said Mobydisc but I think Petermac33 is joking(I hope!)
oliver
oliver
3952 posts
3952 posts
14 Aug 2010 5:03pm
I thought the debate was great and I thank DS for bringing it up and making it a topic of discussion. Living in metropolitan Melbourne I can see that if we keep going the way we are, it's going to cause more problems that it will solve and I could relate to where DS was coming from. Once all the people are here there is no turning back. I look at Sydney and I think it's a basket case. Big doesn't mean better.

If we are talking about Tas - log man, there is no one there - living and working relatively close to this underpopulated island, it's on the top of my list of where I want to spend my summer holidays. Personally. I can't think of many other places, closeby, to unwind and escape from the Hoi polloi that comes with the unfortunate grind that comes with city life.

Australia has often been referred to the lucky country. I'm all for keeping it right for future generations. I'm with DS - this preoccupation Australia has with more, bigger is better, doesn't quite add up, and it needs to be debated to work out a plan for our future.
PeterWac33
PeterWac33
WA
9 posts
WA, 9 posts
14 Aug 2010 5:10pm
petermac33 said...

i reckon Dick Smith is a front guy for the corporate establishment, the one's pushing this nonesense that the earth cannot take an increase in population.

'they' are using their minnion, Dick Smith in this case to push this crap.

the sheep, believing this nonesense are more likely to accept a carbon tax!

multifaceted crap actually!

lost my respect for Dick Smith when he funded the attack on the Australian Vaccination Network,proof to me anyway, that he is one of 'them'.

p.s the AVN is against vaccination.





Yeah, dick smith wants a smaller population so that he can sell more TVs to the remaining small population and he wants to vaccinate people so they can't do sport so that they have to watch bigger TVs. He has been hypnotised with chemtrails to do this by the new world order, or the new order of new world orders that controls them or maybe even the recently established new order of new order of new world orders... I'm not touching the water..
log man
log man
VIC
8289 posts
VIC, 8289 posts
14 Aug 2010 7:33pm
New order were great. but hang on ,their big record was "power corruption and lies"!!!. Maybe new order were the new world order.
FormulaNova
FormulaNova
WA
15100 posts
WA, 15100 posts
14 Aug 2010 7:04pm
log man said...

Formulanova: sure Australia of the 1950's and 1960s had wide open spaces and a great climate and a freedom to do things that maybe we miss decades later but I think we definatly look back with rose coloured glasses. I remember Tassie in the sixties and seventies not as a haven but as a place where intolerance reined and a frontier mentality meant small mindedness usually led to the exodus of anyone 18 and over . And to some extent most of Australia still suffers from the limitation of small populations. Big cities have layers of sophistication that drive culture and Dick Smiths premise for the whole doco is predicated on the theory that big cities are bad and 1'4 acre blocks are good . I don't buy it


Hey, I'm not that old! I was born in the seventies, and even then, 1/4 acre blocks were the norm and everyone had a yard to play in, if not in the middle of the street. I have a yard about that size now, but I can see that if there is no decent amount of land opened up, areas like this will be developed and I worry that you won't be able to have a decent size yard within commuting distance of the CBD.

Big cities become a bit impersonal and I think it creates its own problems.

Why not have an Australia where those that want to live in a city can, in high density or medium density housing? If we had decent transport systems, it would even allow people to retain a decent amount of yard space and work in the city if needed.

Maybe a bigger population could be acceptable, but the politicians want them all to be crammed into the existing cities as it involves less work on infrastructure.


SandS
SandS
VIC
5904 posts
VIC, 5904 posts
14 Aug 2010 10:01pm
We should not try to grow cotton or rice! use our limited supply of water to drink .
Recycle storm water. Cut our losses and turn the vic desal plant into a wave generating pump for perfect inland barrels. And Dick is spot on !
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