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Forecast vs live wind

Created by Hynek Hynek  > 9 months ago, 4 Mar 2017
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Hynek
Hynek

WA

5 posts

4 Mar 2017 7:18am
Forecast wind this Sat morning is showing 20knots for Perth, but all live graphs are showing 5 knots. (Except Rottnest) What's up with that? Similar thing happened last weekend and I had to cancel my winsurfing plans.
Thanks for any replies - hope I'm not asking something obvious.
Stuthepirate
Stuthepirate

SA

3591 posts

4 Mar 2017 10:16am
It's called - "Gettin' Skunked"
Subsonic
Subsonic

WA

3384 posts

4 Mar 2017 8:34am
I usually regard the foreast wind to be what Rottnest will get (pretty sure the windmeters are up on a hill over there too), like you say Rottnest got it.

During summer when we're getting regular seabreezes its a much more reliabe forecast, once it starts to get a bit funky though I take it all with a pinch of salt.

A Souwesterly in the morning aint a seabreeze....
Mark _australia
Mark _australia

WA

23526 posts

4 Mar 2017 8:57am
^^^^ +1

and the forecast is not for the beach, it is for up to 20km (?) out in the ocean
it seems in the last few years it is designed to talk about absolute maximum wind that the absolute minimum intelligence level boatie might encounter. A warning, rather than a forecast...?
Hynek
Hynek

WA

5 posts

4 Mar 2017 10:19am
Ok, that lines up with what I'm seeing. Does that mean that the forecast is of no use for river windsurfing? There should really be 2 forecasts then, as everyone not on a boat out at sea will not care much about Rottnest/20km out wind levels.
DarrylG
DarrylG

WA

506 posts

4 Mar 2017 10:30am
Meteye
elmo
elmo

WA

8879 posts

4 Mar 2017 11:51am
Perth Local Waters Forecast: Two Rocks to Dawesville, inshore from Rottnest Island

My personal Fave for Perth metro
www.bom.gov.au/marine/wind.shtml?unit=p0&location=wa-per&tz=AWST
Hynek
Hynek

WA

5 posts

4 Mar 2017 2:29pm
Thanks For that link Elmo. That BOM wind map forecast is much better
Sin
Sin

Sin

WA

170 posts

9 Mar 2017 6:23am
I think it is also this time of the year that makes it notoriously inaccurate, particularly these last 2-3 weeks the forecasts in the SB area have been very optimistic with a few days predicted to be around 25-30 knots, but turning out to be only 15-20.
...I guess we should start aiming and the winter cold fronts.
TheRodder
TheRodder

WA

321 posts

9 Mar 2017 10:09pm
Anyway to find the location and height of the wind sensors? The www.windalert.com:443/map site shows a bit of information for some sites.
elmo
elmo

WA

8879 posts

10 Mar 2017 5:51am
Open

www.bom.gov.au/wa/observations/perth.shtml

Click on the location in the table and it will open up another page with all readings for that particular location

Just above the first table is "Station details"

ie for Mandurakastan

Station Details ID: 009977 Name: MANDURAH Lat: -32.52 Lon: 115.71 Height: 3.0 m
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