What's happened to all the seabreezes this year?

Another nasty mix of frontal weather and north vs southerly battles for this week...

Where are the 5knot SE mornings and 29C predictions that we're all looking for...?

I might take up kiting

What with your new twin fin?

Yeah I'm on holidays and this lack of wind is killing me.

We are in a La Nina event, it will be s...t until it finishes.

I remember like over 8 - 10 years ago, when we would get real windy sunny days in spring that would even blow in the morning. You would see guys at the back of the sand bars in a southly at rye doing speed runs on all there new gear in real sunny windy conditions.. I am really amazed at why our wind has turned so bad, like we are getting one or two windy days a week at the moment, thats a joke, we use to get alot more wind than that.

Yeah I can only think of 1 decent sea breeze since spring Grrr.... I sailed heaps more in winter

So sick of this. 2007-8 was awesome, 2008-9 less so, 2009-10 not brilliant and this year is appalling.

Mid-November and I haven't yet sailed on the bay.

Not impressed.

The move to WA draws ever closer.

I was up in Gerroa a few weeks ago for 4 days, got 2 great NE's wearing my spring suit, nice and warm, good fun 3-4 ft waves....Think I will go up there again soon, Melbourne is totally crap this season so far, and by the looks of it with the La Nina effect, it ain't going to get much better any time soon

i cant believe how ****ing **** it has been!! looks like tassies starting to happen though. might have to spend more time down there than planned...
www.windguru.cz/62313

fingers crossed for thursday here...

How bad is it ? -got the gear out to check it yesterday - spider nest in the fin box and needed wd40 to freeup the zips on the cover! Spring hasn't sprung, it's oozed out! Might have to sacrifice a chicken or small goat or a kiter to the wind god Flatuanus to get some action -wer'e not getting any younger waiting.

Oh, how quickly we forget!

I was out on 7th...

Before that the weekend at Sandy, I got two and a half good sails...

IT's not the last two weeks more just the last 10 weeks....

and someone (probably Rosobot come to think about it) said that Northerlies are like fat girls, something to do in between the nice ones.

Y i posted on this El Nina a while ago, does anyone know how long it lasts?
i read a lot of complicated weather stuff, but basically got from it:

1.
c. 10 years cycles, 10 of windy drought (yes, we had that)
and 10 of vertical rain (horizontal rain is not nice but I'll take some now)

2.
it shouldn't be having much affect on S.E. Oz, should be more of a QLD thing

Anyone know any more about it?

Lets see if that Thursday 20kt S.W. happens.

From a newspaper article in June sometime, sort of explains the effect of La Nina on Australias weather.

GET ready for a wet late winter and a soaked spring and summer - "The Little Girl" could be back.
The Bureau of Meteorology believes a La Nina, Spanish for The Little Girl, is more likely than not to form before the end of winter.

La Ninas, a little understood weather phenomenon in which a massive pool of warmer than normal water builds off northeastern Australia in the Coral Sea, can bring a massive increase in rainfall and more cyclones.

At the very least, La Ninas bring greater than average rainfall to eastern Australia.

"Computer model forecasts show a significant likelihood of a La Nina in 2010," Dr Andrew Watkins, Manager of the Bureau's Climate Prediction Services, said.

A weather bureau spokeswoman added of the phenomenon yesterday: "Historically, La Nina events have often brought above average rainfall to much of Australia, particularly inland eastern and northern regions.

"Widespread wet conditions and flooding events have accompanied a number of La Nina events in the past - substantial flooding hit NSW and Queensland in 1998, while the event of 1988-89 saw flooding in SA and Victoria.

"Night temperatures are also usually warmer than average."

While beach tourism operators may moan, farmers will greet a possible La Nina with delight because of the phenomenon's link to inland rain.

Scientists are still not exactly sure what triggers La Ninas, but every three to seven years or so the differences of barometric pressure between the eastern and western sides of the Pacific increases.

Westerly flowing trade winds intensify and, combined with ocean currents, push more and more warm surface water up against the landmasses in the western Pacific - Australia, PNG, Indonesia, the Philippines, Korea, China and Japan.

As the hugely swollen pool of warm ocean water evaporates, the resulting heavy rain is blown across eastern Australia.

My memory of the last La Nina was conditions really similar to what we are experiencing now, muggy wet weather, less seabreezes and softer sea breezes.
Why I just bought a "big" board.
Hopefully it will break down pretty quickly and we will get back to a normal Melbourne summer.

Well thursday is sounding really flakey now, but Friday and Saturday could be two really good sea breezes as they have the right ingredients, low 20 degrees and sunny, light winds in the morning gradually building. (really hoping anyway)

Hooray for yesterday!

I second that. It was not a seabreeze but it was great. We had very powered up 5.5m bump and jump weather at bonno after work. Heaps of fun.

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WindRider said...

I second that. It was not a seabreeze but it was great. We had very powered up 5.5m bump and jump weather at bonno after work. Heaps of fun.

It was partly a seebreeze. The southern ocean flow is (generally speaking) westerly, so any southerly wind we get, will be due to local effects. For example, Friday was definitely seabreeze.