http://www.datacall.net.au/weathernow/devlist.htm?rsn=09100330&longtime=This link is the main one I use to sea whats happening for S/SE see breezes and for E/NE breezes. It's in km/h so just halve it and it's close enough. It's the closest reading you will get to whats happening on the water. However, as the Iron Pot is located at the mouth of the Derwent it can be misleading for places like Cremorne lagoon which works off similar, yet completely different thermal effects. But it gives you a prettty good idea of whats happening.
I also use this for SW/W winds if I want to sail at Sandpits or Mortimer Bay.
As for Dorans any wind from SW to NW is good the CSIRO has a station on Droughty Hill but it's been unreliable all year due to breakdown. The other problem is it's hundreds of meters above sea level, so can have higher readings than water level. Dorans can also be sailed in E winds but can be gusty and considerably(50%) lighter than Goats.
www.marine.csiro.au/~lband/wind/BOM Coastal Observations are not a good indicator of wind on the water. For Cremorne lagoon the closest is Hobart Airport. By the time the sea breeze reaches there the wind has been blowing for some time, then by the time you get packed up and head down the seabreeze is an hour and a half old and probably starting to die out.
In westerlies it just gives stupid readings.
When it's blowing westerly look down the river, if you see white caps futher down near Droughty Point and South Arm Peninsula then its windy.