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decrepit said..
Firstly we mustn't get ventilation and cavitation mixed up, they are 2 separate things.
When it's said cavitation begins at 50 knots, it's just talking about a few small vapor burbles forming on the fin. This doesn't necessarily lead to spin out but does reduce lift and increase drag. This will have a limiting effect on speed, but not be an absolute barrier that suddenly appears at 50 knots. It's an increasing resistance as speed builds up,
I am quite aware of the difference between cavitation and ventilation. But were we disagree is about what causes spinouts at high speeds - or, more specifically, if cavitation would cause spinouts, in particular at high speed.
There are two ways of getting spinouts at high speed (which are not mutually exclusive): going over chop, and load changes on the fin. Going over chop seems to point towards ventilation, where air is sucked down from the surface. There is plenty of evidence that ventilation plays a big role in many spinouts. But that does not mean that cavitation does not play a role when we are talking about very high speeds.
The lift the fin produces keeps it from siding sideways. If we assume the scenario you describe, where cavitation happens gradually and reduces lift, then the reduced lift would mean the fin starts sliding sideways. If this happens in a controlled way, then this leads to a higher angle of attack, which increases lift, so the side way slide stops, and we reach a new steady state at a higher (and slower) angle of attack. That's the scenario you describe. This is known to be the case for some foiling boats, where foils can show damage from cavitation bubbles.
But in the case of vertical lift, like we have in foiling boats, the worst-case scenario of very bad cavitation is that the boat drops of the foil. Racing catamarans usually handle this well.
The scenario is very different for speedsurfing, though, where the lift of the foil is horizontal, not vertical. One problem is that a higher angle of attack also reduces the pressure on the low-pressure side of the fin further, which then increases cavitation. In other words, we have a positive feedback loop here. The much smaller size of the speed fins compared to foils on race boats also means that the relative effect of the first cavitation bubbles that form will be a lot larger. It seems quite possible, or indeed likely, that the cavitation at the fin would produce a full-scale spinout.
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decrepit said..
I also don't think any pressure differential has much to do with it. It's when the pressure on the fin reduces below the vapor pressure of water.
Well, how low the pressure will go is directly proportional to the pressure differential. Higher pressure on one side is balanced by lower pressure on the other side (although you may have to think in a 3D integration way for this). So the higher the pressure differential, the more likely cavitation becomes.
"The greater the speed and/or the angle of incidence, the lower the pressure on the extrados becomes. When this pressure gets low enough, cavitation (vapor formation) happens." (from
syro.co/en/news/cavitation-dummies/). The "angle of incidence" or effective angle of attack is also determined by the foil profile, so a thinner speed foil would cavitate at higher speed than a thicker freeride foil (but also produce less lift at identical speeds).