Probable El Ni?o & Positive IOD-What does it mean?

> 10 years ago
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Green Cherub
Green Cherub
WA
296 posts
WA, 296 posts
19 Jun 2014 12:33pm
Been having a look through a few sites but not sure how an El Niño and an positive Indian Ocean Dipole correlates to our summer sea breezes (WA). For the weather gurus and old timers , can anyone tell me what we're likely to be in for if the two forecasts do eventuate?

I read that the two are linked (ie El Niño and +ve IOD are closely correlated)..so do hotter and drier years tend to have more seabreezest? Can we expect an earlier start or a late finish?

Some BOM links i found interesting;

www.google.com.au/search?q=2014%2F2015+la+nino+IOD+&sourceid=ie7&rls=com.microsoft:en-au:IE-SearchBox&ie=&oe=&gfe_rd=cr&ei=xz-iU6CAAsyW_AbS7oHoBQ&gws_rd=ssl

Cheers!
alverstone
alverstone
WA
533 posts
WA, 533 posts
19 Jun 2014 2:48pm
I read the stories too, and left understanding the current threat of an El Nino is 70%, after indications rose recently.
But we won't get a true idea until early spring - which is kinda usless if you are a farmer thinking about how much to seed, I'd guess.
So chill and go ride winter storms and fronts while we've got 'em ...
JayP
JayP
QLD
249 posts
QLD, 249 posts
19 Jun 2014 4:57pm
in the coral sea - PNG, new cal and FNQ we can expect stronger trade winds and a late start to the summer monsoon (longer dry/windy season)
kkiter
kkiter
NSW
452 posts
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