It's always way wrong in Bris..
Today it's been no stronger than 10-15kn South on the costal areas of bris as per B.O.M and personal opinion as I live at Scarborough beach.
But seabreeze has the whole day peg as 20-25kn South.
This is a regular miss prediction for brisbane I find....

???????

I have found that winds predicted in S/E QLD around this time of the year never or rarely get up.....

B

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crakas said..
I have found that winds predicted in S/E QLD around this time of the year never or rarely get up.....

B

You got that right

I don't believe that. They aren't consistant but I've done heaps of down winders through winter last year and already this year in moreton bay..

The question is why is sea breeze so wrong to boms predictions ??

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AndyR said...
I don't believe that. They aren't consistant but I've done heaps of down winders through winter last year and already this year in moreton bay..

The question is why is sea breeze so wrong to boms predictions ??

In always wrong in central qld. On SE winds it's always 5 to 10 over predicted. And on NE winds it's always under predicted.

During the Summer it's pretty reliable but this winter I've been skunked a few times.

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AndyR said..
I don't believe that. They aren't consistant but I've done heaps of down winders through winter last year and already this year in moreton bay..

The question is why is sea breeze so wrong to boms predictions ??

Maybe I was exaggerating a little. In my experience Moreton bay gets more consistent winds than the Sunny Coast. Today I would have loved to go for a kite, but I wasn't confident that the wind would kick in so I didn't waste my time waiting for it and did other things... Though I did have a sneaky look on the cams to see if it was worth going for a SUP....

I agree while monitoring beach conditions and the interweb lately other weather sites have been more accurate, especially regarding live feedback seems to be talked up on sb.

Has a lot to do with wind direction with winter winds cross or offshore. Go out a few km and the wind is stronger especially well off shore. Summer winds from the north have the seabreeze assisting them which does not happen in winter. Unless it's from the SE in winter most winds will be down on strength and most likely gusty being affected by the land.

I think if you combine cloud, precipitation and rain into the forecasting you will get a more accurate prediction. As soon as a cloud covers the sun or looks like a rain front is coming, the wind goes either off the scale or under what SB predicted.