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FormulaNova said..
I don't know about the number of speculators being only 5%, but here in Aus it feels like everyone is a speculator. If they take a mortgage on that is interest only and the losses outweigh the returns, they use their income to subsidise it. Why would someone do this? If they think they can always sell it for a gain later on down the line. If that's not speculation, I don't know what is.
In my opinion, that's the majority of 'investors' in the Australian property market, If they were new builds, it would be different, but many (most?) are just existing properties.
I don't agree with the idea that people are 'just providing a service' if the house they rent out is one that already existed and would otherwise be a house for someone to live in.
Economics-wise, using housing as a major investment vehicle shifts a lot of capital across to an asset that is not very productive. The capital that is used to buy the same house over and over again could be better spent on actual investment, whether it be a new house which actually adds to supply, or investment in anything else.
I feel that Aus has had a spurt of growth in property investment when the capital gains tax discount came into being. If NZ has none, then surely that's an incentive to speculate on housing?
"Speculators" has a specific definition, and the number is very low compared to people
investing in property*. The difference is in how long they plan to hold onto the property... or rather, which of the two the government or press is trying to demonize.
Why would they do that? Capital gains is usually the answer. You invest for the long run, like you do with any other form of investment.
LOL if you're renting out a house then by definition someone is living in it.
I don't about you, but I didn't walk out the front door of my parent's house and straight into my own home and I needed somewhere to live so ... I rented. Wouldn't have been able to study or work if I couldn't.
Who is buying the same house over and over again? If you're talking about speculators or flippers, you can still do that with people living in the property.
Actual investment in ... what? How would it be better? And who decides what's better?
Not productive ... how?
There is a capital gains tax, the Labour government that promised they wouldn't introduce a capital gains tax has just called it something else. That's a large part of what's fueled the rush to buy over the past few years.
If you're worried about first-home buyers, you might want to have a word with the government -- they were caught in 2020 or 21 buying up housing suitable for first home buyers at 5 to 10% above market rates, squeezing actual first home buyers out of the market -- the group they supposedly introduced the laws and taxes to protect.
* as a rough idea -- in 2019 there were 1,701 properties sold under the 10-year bright line test (thereby subject to capital gains tax) thatdemarcatesthe government's definition of "speculator". There were 76,875 residential sales total in 2019.