USD AUD future exchange rate

7 years ago
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Harrow
Harrow
NSW
4521 posts
NSW, 4521 posts
15 Sep 2018 2:48pm
Gotta choose to get paid in AUD or USD.

What's the most likely direction of the exchange rate over the next couple of years?
FormulaNova
FormulaNova
WA
15100 posts
WA, 15100 posts
15 Sep 2018 1:03pm
I don't see our economy outperforming the USA any time soon, so I would pick USD.

The days of parity are certainly over.
AUS1111
AUS1111
WA
3621 posts
WA, 3621 posts
15 Sep 2018 1:30pm
Nobody knows. The current rate reflects the balance of opinion.
Vince68
Vince68
WA
675 posts
WA, 675 posts
15 Sep 2018 4:26pm
AUS1111 said..
Nobody knows. The current rate reflects the balance of opinion.


Yep correct you are. The markets are all based on emotions. Who has sand in their vagina and who hasn't
Imax1
Imax1
QLD
4937 posts
QLD, 4937 posts
15 Sep 2018 6:47pm
Vince68 said..

AUS1111 said..
Nobody knows. The current rate reflects the balance of opinion.



Yep correct you are. The markets are all based on emotions. Who has sand in their vagina and who hasn't


Reminds me of a joke,
Q , why did caveman drag their women by the hair instead of their feet ?
A , so they don't fill up with dirt ,
I know , off to bed I go
Mobydisc
Mobydisc
NSW
9029 posts
NSW, 9029 posts
15 Sep 2018 8:49pm
Do you pay your bills in US or AU dollars?
cisco
cisco
QLD
12365 posts
QLD, 12365 posts
15 Sep 2018 9:45pm
Get paid in God's money, ie gold or silver.

Fiat money is just a belief structure that keeps us all broke and compliant.
FormulaNova
FormulaNova
WA
15100 posts
WA, 15100 posts
16 Sep 2018 6:21am
cisco said..
Get paid in God's money, ie gold or silver.

Fiat money is just a belief structure that keeps us all broke and compliant.


Can you eat gold or silver? How is it any different to paper money?
cisco
cisco
QLD
12365 posts
QLD, 12365 posts
16 Sep 2018 9:33am
FormulaNova said..
Can you eat gold or silver? How is it any different to paper money?


You can't print gold or silver.
Marsbars
Marsbars
546 posts
546 posts
16 Sep 2018 7:33am
Does it make any difference to your tax obligations? Otherwise do what all the smart people do roll a dice 1-3 USD 4-6 AUD.
Cambodge
Cambodge
VIC
851 posts
VIC, 851 posts
16 Sep 2018 10:01am
Mobydisc said..
Do you pay your bills in US or AU dollars?


This ^^^

Assuming a non-"random gamble" attitude to risk then you should be looking to maximise your natural hedges.

If your biggest expense is the USD-denominated annual Maui trip (and if it's not then you've got bigger issues to work through first) then get paid in green back.
Cambodge
Cambodge
VIC
851 posts
VIC, 851 posts
16 Sep 2018 10:04am
cisco said..

FormulaNova said..
Can you eat gold or silver? How is it any different to paper money?



You can't print gold or silver.


What're the chances of a client or employer paying on the basis of defined mass of gold????
rod_bunny
rod_bunny
WA
1089 posts
WA, 1089 posts
16 Sep 2018 5:58pm
cisco said..

FormulaNova said..
Can you eat gold or silver? How is it any different to paper money?



You can't print gold or silver.


Could with a 3D printer... using gold or silver filament
Isn't that then Value Added Processing?





(yeah yeah I get the whole making something out of nothing by printing money etc but alchemy is still a thing. Isn't that what the whole economy is based on?)
cisco
cisco
QLD
12365 posts
QLD, 12365 posts
16 Sep 2018 9:13pm
rod_bunny said....
(yeah yeah I get the whole making something out of nothing by printing money etc but alchemy is still a thing. Isn't that what the whole economy is based on?)


Yes unfortunately, speculation and profit making. The real value of any country's wealth lies in the productive capacity of it's population.
Mr Milk
Mr Milk
NSW
3137 posts
NSW, 3137 posts
17 Sep 2018 12:12am
So why not Bitcoin... or Dogecoin... or Monopoly Money?
Buster fin
Buster fin
WA
2598 posts
WA, 2598 posts
17 Sep 2018 4:49am
cisco said..

rod_bunny said....
(yeah yeah I get the whole making something out of nothing by printing money etc but alchemy is still a thing. Isn't that what the whole economy is based on?)



Yes unfortunately, speculation and profit making. The real value of any country's wealth lies in the productive capacity of it's population.


We are in trouble.
myusernam
myusernam
QLD
6158 posts
QLD, 6158 posts
17 Sep 2018 8:14am
Id go usd every day of the week. Its gotta turn around a hell of a lot befire you lose and its its not going to happen for at least a few years.
cisco
cisco
QLD
12365 posts
QLD, 12365 posts
17 Sep 2018 9:20am
Buster fin said..
We are in trouble.




You better believe it.
evlPanda
evlPanda
NSW
9207 posts
NSW, 9207 posts
17 Sep 2018 3:22pm
Mr Milk said..
So why not Bitcoin... or Dogecoin... or Monopoly Money?


Bitcoin is dead. Again.

fortune.com/longform/nyse-owner-bitcoin-exchange-startup/
Mobydisc
Mobydisc
NSW
9029 posts
NSW, 9029 posts
18 Sep 2018 8:22am
Seriously you should be paid in whatever currency you have to pay your taxes in, unless of course you live in a country run like the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela where enlightened central planning has resulted in fairness for all citizens. Then if you can be paid in US dollars you will live like a king.
myusernam
myusernam
QLD
6158 posts
QLD, 6158 posts
18 Sep 2018 9:22am
why would you when the USD is 30% more and likely to be for the forseeable future? especially if our economy tanks from the property squeeze. surely any conversion costs are minimal.
eppo
eppo
WA
9789 posts
WA, 9789 posts
18 Sep 2018 2:00pm
US are normalisation rates... gonna impact our dollar for sure in the south direction. Surely? Unless we increase our rates as well to keep investor dollars. Property might fall over though if we raise them too much though.
Windpasser
Windpasser
WA
507 posts
WA, 507 posts
18 Sep 2018 3:21pm
I bought a Domino's Pizza today for what was meant to be AUD$5.00

They charged me US$3.75. Bull**** Paypal Exchange rate.

Should've been at least US 15c cheaper.

How am I supposed to sleep tonight.
Storm Ahead
Storm Ahead
QLD
137 posts
QLD, 137 posts
19 Sep 2018 9:50am
The trend is up for USD.





Harrow
Harrow
NSW
4521 posts
NSW, 4521 posts
19 Sep 2018 10:13pm
myusernam said..
why would you when the USD is 30% more and likely to be for the forseeable future? especially if our economy tanks from the property squeeze. surely any conversion costs are minimal.

Haha. yeah I wish I was being offered the same number of dollars in USD. Nope, I am being offered the equivalent value in USD, calculated on today's exchange rate. Then I would win or lose if the AUD goes up or down over the next couple of years. Or I have the option of just locking in AUD now.
AUS1111
AUS1111
WA
3621 posts
WA, 3621 posts
19 Sep 2018 8:38pm
Storm Ahead said..
The trend is up for USD.






Wouldn't life be easy if everything went according to trend?
Little Jon
Little Jon
NSW
2115 posts
NSW, 2115 posts
19 Sep 2018 10:49pm
Avoid risk of currency loss and get paid AUD. If you want to play the market, do it after you get paid.
Razzonater
Razzonater
2224 posts
2224 posts
19 Sep 2018 9:12pm
Get paid in usd , try be cheeky as well and ask for 10% more than offered as for them it will most likely be cheaper to pay you in USD (particularly if corporate global company)
Harrow
Harrow
NSW
4521 posts
NSW, 4521 posts
20 Sep 2018 6:51am
Little Jon said..
Avoid risk of currency loss and get paid AUD. If you want to play the market, do it after you get paid.


I'm always surprised by the people that tell me I should obviously choose USD. I ask them if they hold USD or AUD in their savings and their tune changes very quickly. They're effectively telling me to buy hundreds of thousands of USD futures, but won't even hold USD in a bank account for themselves. Ha, so far the money has never been where the mouth is.
myusernam
myusernam
QLD
6158 posts
QLD, 6158 posts
20 Sep 2018 7:21am
Harrow said..

myusernam said..
why would you when the USD is 30% more and likely to be for the forseeable future? especially if our economy tanks from the property squeeze. surely any conversion costs are minimal.


Haha. yeah I wish I was being offered the same number of dollars in USD. Nope, I am being offered the equivalent value in USD, calculated on today's exchange rate. Then I would win or lose if the AUD goes up or down over the next couple of years. Or I have the option of just locking in AUD now.


Oh! Well yeah that is hard. Well u were going to retire, its trend will be up for at least a few years u would think. But if yr thinking u mighst stay for longer then it would be less stress.
FormulaNova
FormulaNova
WA
15100 posts
WA, 15100 posts
20 Sep 2018 6:22am
Harrow said..

Little Jon said..
Avoid risk of currency loss and get paid AUD. If you want to play the market, do it after you get paid.



I'm always surprised by the people that tell me I should obviously choose USD. I ask them if they hold USD or AUD in their savings and their tune changes very quickly. They're effectively telling me to buy hundreds of thousands of USD futures, but won't even hold USD in a bank account for themselves. Ha, so far the money has never been where the mouth is.


Its not that easy. I have held about $1000 USD in a CBA travel card. I.e. it gets no interest and they screw you over a tiny bit on the exchange rate and then hit you with fees if you use it the wrong way. In my case, a cash advance even though its already your own cash, they hit you with a fee.

So, don't assume that your case is the same. Most people have to convert to USD first and then back to AUD for spending, which isn't easy in Australia as far as I can tell.
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