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Subsonic said..
I would figure bringing skilled migrants in is once again the bandaid solution to an aging workforce, with no fresh workers coming into the mix, not really "outsourcing kid production". It'll sort of work, but migrants these days are generally not keen to stick around, at least not in the same fashion that they did in my grandparents era.
Yeah, I agree. In 'the old days' in IT, there would be people that came to Australia and found the industry good and things affordable. Lately there seem to be a few that are reconsidering their life here and thinking that they can get better jobs back in Mumbai or somewhere similar. I think they are sold on the move to Aus thinking it is a good income and then when they are here they see it can be very expensive too.
How then do you balance having enough people here and giving them a good lifestyle?
But I am arguing that you are effectively outsourcing the new people in your population from being produced locally to importing them. Especially when the migrants are finding that the lifestyle here is not that great and not reproducing as much in later generations either.
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Subsonic said..
I don't think the falling birth rate problem can be put down solely to the increasing cost of living either, most can actually still get by on a double income, and probably could still afford to raise a child or two if they decided to do so. It's certainly part of it, but I think the problem is far more concerning than that. Western society has changed a great deal in the last half a century or so. Nuclear families and sustained marriage are far less of a thing these days, and relationships don't last like they used to, they are far more fleeting than they used to be. Also in most couples now, both parties work for a living, neither are willing to be a stay at home parent. End game of all that is people think twice about getting tied to a situationship by having kids. Not suggesting we need to revert back to nuclear families, just saying that it's different now.
Yeah, I wonder about family sizes. If a couple had absolutely no worries about income, what size family would they have, if they had kids at all?
I think people want to have kids, partly to look after them in old age, but they don't want too many that impact their own way of life. Is 2 the ideal number? A replacement number that people can afford?
So why then are we falling below these numbers?
If it is an issue where both people want to keep working, why isn't child care super cheap and a very easy option, but it sounds like that is competitive too.
High immigration is an easy policy for goverment but without thinking it through it may just keep the same problem happening and in the mean-time the quality of life for everyone falls. I keep reading of 'build more houses' in existing suburbs with higher density, which appears to be the solution for high housing demand, itself caused by high migration levels.