Craig66 said..
I find this site useful, and easy to read graphs and it keeps getting updated.

www.abc.net.au/news/2020-03-17/coronavirus-cases-data-reveals-how-covid-19-spreads-in-australia/12060704

Great site, thanks Craig.

Craig66 said..
I find this site useful, and easy to read graphs and it keeps getting updated.

www.abc.net.au/news/2020-03-17/coronavirus-cases-data-reveals-how-covid-19-spreads-in-australia/12060704

Good info on that. I tend to rely on this for accurate official numbers: www.health.gov.au/news/health-alerts/novel-coronavirus-2019-ncov-health-alert/coronavirus-covid-19-current-situation-and-case-numbers

I've been calling it for a few days now. The daily new cases seem to be stabilising under 400 and that is not the numbers a runaway pandamic gives. This is a solid daily reduction in infection rate and given there is a 8-10 day lag from infection to test results the new isolation measures have not even influenced the figures yet.

We are not out of the woods yet, but for persepctive, if that rate can be maintained, it will take 7 years to infect just 1 million people and something like 200years to infect the population of Australia.

The real question is, if we can maintain such a low infection rate, or even reduce it back to nothing.... What do we do now?

Paradox said..

Craig66 said..
I find this site useful, and easy to read graphs and it keeps getting updated.

www.abc.net.au/news/2020-03-17/coronavirus-cases-data-reveals-how-covid-19-spreads-in-australia/12060704

Good info on that. I tend to rely on this for accurate official numbers: www.health.gov.au/news/health-alerts/novel-coronavirus-2019-ncov-health-alert/coronavirus-covid-19-current-situation-and-case-numbers

I've been calling it for a few days now. The daily new cases seem to be stabilising under 400 and that is not the numbers a runaway pandamic gives. This is a solid daily reduction in infection rate and given there is a 8-10 day lag from infection to test results the new isolation measures have not even influenced the figures yet.

We are not out of the woods yet, but for persepctive, if that rate can be maintained, it will take 7 years to infect just 1 million people and something like 200years to infect the population of Australia.

The real question is, if we can maintain such a low infection rate, or even reduce it back to nothing.... What do we do now?

Get all the people that have caught it and recovered to do all the work and protect the rest of us?

If the 20 plus people think they are not going to be affected by it, dose them all up, and let them all give the rest of us herd immunity!

Rails said..

simples, we close the borders for 200 years, everyone coming in or out sits in quarantine for 4 weeks

That might work. We would be living in an economy like North Korea, but it would certainly keep the bugs out.

Maybe we can build missiles and fire them at NZ for fun.

Good time lapse map in this today

paragraph heading : "Global COVID-19 cases: time-lapse of infection"
www.smh.com.au/national/coronavirus-updates-live-covid-19-cases-near-1-million-worldwide-australian-death-toll-stands-at-24-20200402-p54gmg.html

and this
www.smh.com.au/world/asia/global-coronavirus-cases-top-1-million-johns-hopkins-tally-20200403-p54gnj.html