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1m winter swell = 1m summer swell

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Created by crusher > 9 months ago, 28 May 2012
crusher
NT, 104 posts
28 May 2012 4:23PM
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Watching graphs and charts has become a bit of an obsession, 10 years ago all I looked at was the ABC weather forecast and surface charts in the paper. Now we have a huge range of forcast and real time info available.

Have noticed last couple of years that 1m swell forecast in winter can translate head high sets on the beachies where as 1m in summer wont be as big.

I am dreaming? maybe !

Anyone else noticed this?

jbshack
WA, 6913 posts
28 May 2012 3:03PM
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No i don't really pay that much atten. Sadly i just go when i can as with my own business and two kids i'm just lucky to surf.

I was supprised though as a few times the forcast is poor and then you do get good reports back so i guess its just go and see..

Hanging for another surf

GPA
WA, 2529 posts
28 May 2012 4:00PM
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^^^
Are you talking Rotto or Cott swell bouys?

1m on the Cott bouy is generally out of control at the bigger beachies... but 1m on the Rotto bouy like yesterday and it can be small as...

You just gotta keep an eye on it and know what it is has been like lately and then apply the charts and other forecasts to local knowledge. It's a bit of a black art...

doggie
WA, 15849 posts
28 May 2012 4:20PM
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GPA said...

^^^
Are you talking Rotto or Cott swell bouys?

1m on the Cott bouy is generally out of control at the bigger beachies... but 1m on the Rotto bouy like yesterday and it can be small as...

You just gotta keep an eye on it and know what it is has been like lately and then apply the charts and other forecasts to local knowledge. It's a bit of a black art...


Really does depend on where you are going.

crusher
NT, 104 posts
28 May 2012 6:15PM
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Yep good points raised above.

I always watch the rotto bouy for the perth metro beachies and cape nat for down south.

Has been a few sneaky days of late in perth where the rotto bouy has been reading around 1m and there is quite good size waves (head high).

Same bouy readings in summer dont seem to be the same hight or strength!

Possibly the other variable comming into play swell direction and period.

Just thought there was a pattern there!

swalkington
WA, 401 posts
28 May 2012 5:49PM
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Difference = tide and swell direction.

Ted the Kiwi
NSW, 14256 posts
28 May 2012 8:07PM
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crusher said...
Have noticed last couple of years that 1m swell forecast in winter can translate head high sets on the beachies where as 1m in summer wont be as big.



Most probably would be the period I reckon. 1m at 14 seconds in winter is a whole lot more fun than 1m at 7 seconds in summer.

Zuke
901 posts
28 May 2012 8:17PM
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As Swalkington said swell direction is important but I think wave period or frequency plays the biggest part for size. I remember a surf I had at a particular place on a 1.3metre swell that with the average 10 second frequency would have an over head high wave on the sets. That day the frequency was 16 which is pretty unusual and it was double head and a half on the sets. That day cemented in me the importance of wave frequency.

Edit ^^^^ Just read your post Ted and I agree

soleman
WA, 280 posts
28 May 2012 9:10PM
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more so what swalkington said, a 7 sec period will be more so "bunched up swell" and a 14sec period will be long clean lines with the right wind. as winter moves in swells generally start to push slightly more from the west and the higher tides help swells travel around corners and into protected areas, meaning they get into not so swell magnets more regularly thus more waves for all.

Deano
WA, 255 posts
28 May 2012 9:28PM
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Definate pulse while the derby was on

swalkington
WA, 401 posts
28 May 2012 11:01PM
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Period can certainly affect surf, but the flaw in this argue meant is that we get long period swells in both summer and winter.

surferstu
1011 posts
28 May 2012 11:11PM
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If only they hung around longer like on the east coast, problem on west coast it's so inconsistent that everyone's hungry for waves and its always crowded unless you get a rare good run of swell back to back.

CostaDelSol
10 posts
28 May 2012 11:57PM
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It all comes down to tides and swell direction and swell period in Perth.

Perth summers have typically weak swell pulses, ssw swell with lower tides during daylight hours. Winter has stronger swell pulses, more westerly direction swells and mid to high tides.

The stronger swell pulses in winter make faster, bigger waves. A more westerly swell pulse also means the swell doesn't have to refract as much when it bends past the outer reefs into the Perth beaches and so it looses less energy. The low tides during daylight hours in summer means not as much swell can get through to the beaches past the outer reefs.

Not to sure about 1m swells = head high in winter, but the same swell height in winter and summer can produce very different results.

WINDY MILLER
WA, 3183 posts
29 May 2012 12:11AM
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Derby day was Close to 2m down here according to the seabreeze swellometer, went for a watch, should have taken the camera, guns galore, monster clean ups, amazing display. Extra couple of seconds seemed to turn it on to the max.

Gwendy
SA, 472 posts
29 May 2012 8:31PM
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www.surfline.com/surfology/surfology_forecast2.cfm

soleman
WA, 280 posts
29 May 2012 7:09PM
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^^^^^^^^^interesting read, cheers Gwendy.

fuall
WA, 375 posts
30 May 2012 9:05AM
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Come on Crush,u know its all about how many boogie have been sacrificed!

fuall
WA, 375 posts
30 May 2012 9:06AM
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i mean Boogers!

crusher
NT, 104 posts
30 May 2012 10:50AM
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fuall said...

Come on Crush,u know its all about how many boogie have been sacrificed!


At the end of each winter we all stand around and bask in the burning glow of hanni's latest boogyboard and surf mat collection. Still a summer in perth remains the crap surf that we have to endure untill the following winter!

fuall
WA, 375 posts
30 May 2012 7:41PM
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Bahahahahahaa.Sat looking alright.will be some carnage at the local beaches.Secret spots will be good!

Greenroom
WA, 7608 posts
30 May 2012 9:36PM
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WINDY MILLER said...

Derby day was Close to 2m down here according to the seabreeze swellometer, went for a watch, should have taken the camera, guns galore, monster clean ups, amazing display. Extra couple of seconds seemed to turn it on to the max.

I got some photos

swalkington
WA, 401 posts
30 May 2012 9:36PM
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long period swells are created by storms a long way away. This is why indo is so groomed and long period. Its also why in Summer we tend to get long period lined up swells that are just one long close out in Perth. Although from some of the comments here it would seem some surfers are unaware of the summer groundswell. It does happen, its just that the direction normally has way to much south for perth.

WINDY MILLER
WA, 3183 posts
30 May 2012 9:52PM
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Greenroom said...

Select to expand quote
WINDY MILLER said...

Derby day was Close to 2m down here according to the seabreeze swellometer, went for a watch, should have taken the camera, guns galore, monster clean ups, amazing display. Extra couple of seconds seemed to turn it on to the max.

I got some photos


[/quote

Ha ha,,, don't be shy!

Greenroom
WA, 7608 posts
31 May 2012 9:17PM
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WINDY MILLER said...

Greenroom said...

WINDY MILLER said...

Derby day was Close to 2m down here according to the seabreeze swellometer, went for a watch, should have taken the camera, guns galore, monster clean ups, amazing display. Extra couple of seconds seemed to turn it on to the max.

I got some photos

Ha ha,,, don't be shy!

I like my waves empty, so no posting.



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"1m winter swell = 1m summer swell" started by crusher