WARNING - LONG POST.
Something that everyone seems to missing is the validity of the data being used to justify the action being taken.
Everything that is being done is based on squirrelly data derived from a dynamically changing environment.
Data that is being derived based on best guess modelling from the WHO who used specific algorithms from people with vested interests.
And then there are the death counts. As varying and fluctuating as the predictions.
Apparently in NY there were over 1000 deaths a day from other causes such as cancer etc. Post Carona these deaths are now attributed solely to a virus, thereby elevating the count and justifying the actions being taken.
In engineering we always need a foundation or a datum to work from. All measurements made are then quantified from this location. And yet for this virus and the action taken we all look at the web based statistics presented through a shiny dashboard, as do our governments, and accept this as gospel truth. We then fully toe the line based on the fear campaign attached to this and willingly forfeit the freedom that father's, grandfather's, sisters and mothers died to protect.
Case in point the state of WA. Only one new community based case yesterday, and for that we have a crippled economy, potential for worse outcomes based on economical collapse, and worse a loss of our rightfully liberties and freedom to move around that allows us to survive.
I'm not saying Covid19 is not real, there is actual evidence to validate it's presence and potential damage it can cause.
But it is not the threat that it is being made out to be. Yes it will effect many if strong action to contain and control is not taken, but the action taken has a significantly greater potential to cause wider spread and longer lasting damage than the disease if not kept in check and based on real statistics.
A cure? We are now being told that restrictions will be in place until a cure or vaccine is found?
Why? Why when specifically in WA would we need to wait to implement a "cure" when through testing and measurement, along with tracking we can contain the spread? Yes maintain some travel and movement restrictions, and implement full population testing as the priority over a vaccine so that a true datum exists.
If concerns remain for at risk groups then provide that minority options to isolate and stay protected until such time that the fire has passed.
At the end of the day it all comes down to the faith you place in the officials in charge and how they are responding. In WA our guy seems to be keeping a level head. So far our cops seem to be not getting carried away with their powers and infringements, giving people the time and opportunity to adapt to the new reality, and credit to all we seem to be doing ok at that.
But for how long?
www.fort-russ.com/2020/04/major-plans-to-re-open-u-s-surgeon-general-adams-dumps-gates-predictive-contagion-model/?__cf_chl_jschl_tk__=ac1d610ffdb7c86e6205cd5aa310dd68ff982263-1586897275-0-ATZWipA6PVS06zGn-j9Ge-_87T2g_ki271-I49BlmGmWq2oprYbIjawisVKSE5a0xjzqqNYUHEiCQbD2vmhhvFkA9llEb3IWSe_oB7cINAJeSKzokbm0y8QVjWOqn7T3Jr0DaRRsyt2Fro3KSdFQDU7x4qV1NVcOyqf5iMDKf7-xAicuTGKiVe53D7Gt-ffTUJumr0oUU0bJX5fya_2y3j7xrocOzxmRb1gA4bBfNMNbTFkUuti9RiXdmA5rv4AYFG_PO9RfVx845cjUo5gxtn9sbydSdT3w5EFP6_hfpMUbRVZS-aDcbttAQ6NVyHAFqN3cKO9ojT6udqkq8LibE8Rh1rIvIztsPlXEMiVPDFxMSulekAiAReCN2j3sXcd7COEv-X2s-xPBPluhfAyYLpU