Sydney To Port Stephens Forecast 25Kt Went To 40 Kt

6 years ago
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Zzzzzz
Zzzzzz
513 posts
513 posts
17 Jul 2019 3:22pm
if any one recognises the music in this clip could you let us know what the song is please.
Craig66
Craig66
NSW
2466 posts
NSW, 2466 posts
17 Jul 2019 6:20pm


Thanks Siri ??
Zzzzzz
Zzzzzz
513 posts
513 posts
17 Jul 2019 6:50pm
Craig66 said..


Thanks Siri ??


Thanks for that
How do you use a Siri for that ?
Kankama
Kankama
NSW
804 posts
NSW, 804 posts
18 Jul 2019 7:34am
It looks to me that this may be where forecasters have it hard. 40 knots in the Beaufort scale is

Sea heaps up and white foam from breaking waves begins to be blown in streaks along the direction of the wind; spindrift begins to be seen

Whilst these guys may have seen a 40 knot gust I don't see any spindrift, and they seem unconcerned and hanging on with one hand whilst watching dolphins. 40 knots consistent? I don't think so. So were the 40 knot gusts not forecast.

At the beginning of EVERY forecast the BOM states - gusts can be up to 40% more than the AVERAGES given here. So 40% of 25 is 10 knots which gives peak gusts of 35 knots. So the BOM were off by 5 knots - sounds very good to me. A check of Meteye for the day would have shown much more detail.

So please be careful out there - a forecast 25 SHOULD have gusts of 35 and maybe even more without you calling it not forecast.
Zzzzzz
Zzzzzz
513 posts
513 posts
18 Jul 2019 7:01am
Kankama said..
It looks to me that this may be where forecasters have it hard. 40 knots in the Beaufort scale is

Sea heaps up and white foam from breaking waves begins to be blown in streaks along the direction of the wind; spindrift begins to be seen

Whilst these guys may have seen a 40 knot gust I don't see any spindrift, and they seem unconcerned and hanging on with one hand whilst watching dolphins. 40 knots consistent? I don't think so. So were the 40 knot gusts not forecast.

At the beginning of EVERY forecast the BOM states - gusts can be up to 40% more than the AVERAGES given here. So 40% of 25 is 10 knots which gives peak gusts of 35 knots. So the BOM were off by 5 knots - sounds very good to me. A check of Meteye for the day would have shown much more detail.

So please be careful out there - a forecast 25 SHOULD have gusts of 35 and maybe even more without you calling it not forecast.


Thanks for that , I looked at the description at the bottom of the video and they state they where in 6m seas and Newcastle harbour was closed, but i think at 40t you would be pressed to get 4m seas.
but having done the same journey in 30kt the seas look impressive specially blowing against the current
Craig66
Craig66
NSW
2466 posts
NSW, 2466 posts
18 Jul 2019 5:13pm
Zzzzzz said..



Craig66 said..


Thanks Siri ??





Thanks for that
How do you use a Siri for that ?




I just played the clip with my phone next to laptop and said "hey siri whats that's song" pretty simple even for an old guy like me

Bit of eye candy in this clip......as in boats

Zzzzzz
Zzzzzz
513 posts
513 posts
18 Jul 2019 3:18pm
I really appreciated that I thought it was Betty Cole I tried punching in the words I could pick out absolutely nothing thanks Craig
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