I have been watching the weather lately and have noticed that the predicted weather is way more than the actual weather does anyone know how they work it out
Im having kite surfing withdrawals suffering pretty bad as i just brought a brand new kite and haven't been out for over 2 weeks
whats the minimum wind for a 12 meter cab kite im 88 kgs cheers
This time of year forecasts are notoriously tricky for the forecasters.
Any time there are 'troughs' around, which there have been lots lately due to all the cyclonic activity up north, the Perth forecasts will have significant error in them.
BOM uses 5 models and they report on the best 'agreement' between the models. And, I suspect, to ensure public safety, BOM issues forecasts which tend to over predict, or predict towards the upper end of 'worst' conditions - i.e. they report the more windy / more rainy predictions, to ensure the general public are aware that winds 'could' occur.
So, try learn to read the synoptic charts themselves, follow them regularly, and you'll better understand why the green arrows don't always eventuate.
Cheers
Today in Perth it was what looked to be a sea breeze but 50 meters away on the shore line it was easterly.It was light at only 10 knots and s westerly in the waves and 20 knots s westerly a couple of 100 meters out.
Frustrating conditions .The bom , seabreeze and willy weather predicted easterlys.They where right about easterlies on land , but wrong on the ocean as that was s west.
Downwinders are great for 12 m kites in 12 knots so long as you have a wider board for early plaining a good buoyancy in the lulls.
I prefer my 17 m zephyr in sub 14 knots on my North nugget surfboard. I m powered and I have the whole of Perths coast line almost to
my self because others think its un kiteable.
